Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and European model ensembles showing a daytime high capped at that level under a persistent high-pressure ridge and northerly winds advecting cooler air from the Mediterranean. Observations from the past 24 hours confirm stable conditions with morning lows around 12–14°C and no signs of diurnal warming beyond 19°C, aligning with March climatology where averages hover near 20°C but current synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Ensemble models exhibit tight agreement (±1°C spread), though an unexpected influx of warmer southerly flow or measurement anomaly at official stations could challenge this, with final data expected by evening local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 27 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 27 de marzo?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$78,160 Vol.
$78,160 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$78,160 Vol.
$78,160 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
19°C
$18,665 Vol.
100%
20°C
$6,637 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,225 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,660 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$4,299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and European model ensembles showing a daytime high capped at that level under a persistent high-pressure ridge and northerly winds advecting cooler air from the Mediterranean. Observations from the past 24 hours confirm stable conditions with morning lows around 12–14°C and no signs of diurnal warming beyond 19°C, aligning with March climatology where averages hover near 20°C but current synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Ensemble models exhibit tight agreement (±1°C spread), though an unexpected influx of warmer southerly flow or measurement anomaly at official stations could challenge this, with final data expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$78,160Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and European model ensembles showing a daytime high capped at that level under a persistent high-pressure ridge and northerly winds advecting cooler air from the Mediterranean. Observations from the past 24 hours confirm stable conditions with morning lows around 12–14°C and no signs of diurnal warming beyond 19°C, aligning with March climatology where averages hover near 20°C but current synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Ensemble models exhibit tight agreement (±1°C spread), though an unexpected influx of warmer southerly flow or measurement anomaly at official stations could challenge this, with final data expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$78,160Fecha de finalización
Mar 27, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and European model ensembles showing a daytime high capped at that level under a persistent high-pressure ridge and northerly winds advecting cooler air from the Mediterranean. Observations from the past 24 hours confirm stable conditions with morning lows around 12–14°C and no signs of diurnal warming beyond 19°C, aligning with March climatology where averages hover near 20°C but current synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Ensemble models exhibit tight agreement (±1°C spread), though an unexpected influx of warmer southerly flow or measurement anomaly at official stations could challenge this, with final data expected by evening local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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