Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C and 24°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks of 23-25°C amid a mild spring warmup in the region's Mediterranean climate. This closely matched sentiment reflects ensemble forecast averages hovering near 24°C, boosted by light southerly winds reducing coastal sea-breeze cooling that often caps diurnal highs. Differentiation arises from uncertainty in peak-hour insolation and microscale effects—25°C requires sustained clear skies and minimal advection, less supported by recent GFS downward revisions from 26°C outliers, while 22°C or below aligns poorly with historical late-March anomalies averaging 22°C but trending warmer this year. Watch IMS station observations for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 28 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 28 de marzo?
25°C 31%
23°C 29%
24°C 29%
19°C 16%
17°C o menos
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
8%
27°C o más
5%
25°C 31%
23°C 29%
24°C 29%
19°C 16%
17°C o menos
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
8%
27°C o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C and 24°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks of 23-25°C amid a mild spring warmup in the region's Mediterranean climate. This closely matched sentiment reflects ensemble forecast averages hovering near 24°C, boosted by light southerly winds reducing coastal sea-breeze cooling that often caps diurnal highs. Differentiation arises from uncertainty in peak-hour insolation and microscale effects—25°C requires sustained clear skies and minimal advection, less supported by recent GFS downward revisions from 26°C outliers, while 22°C or below aligns poorly with historical late-March anomalies averaging 22°C but trending warmer this year. Watch IMS station observations for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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