Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 clustering around 21-23°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C or below (36.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. This positioning reflects a northerly airflow channeling cooler Mediterranean air amid typical late-March conditions, with recent model runs showing subdued daytime heating due to increased cloud cover and light showers earlier in the week. Historical March highs average 21°C, and current sea surface temperatures near 18°C limit convective potential. Uncertainty persists from potential shifts in upper-level troughing; updated guidance expected from the Israel Meteorological Service by evening could refine probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
21°C or below 37%
23°C 31%
22°C 22%
24°C 17%
21°C or below
37%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C
17%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
21°C or below 37%
23°C 31%
22°C 22%
24°C 17%
21°C or below
37%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C
17%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 clustering around 21-23°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C or below (36.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. This positioning reflects a northerly airflow channeling cooler Mediterranean air amid typical late-March conditions, with recent model runs showing subdued daytime heating due to increased cloud cover and light showers earlier in the week. Historical March highs average 21°C, and current sea surface temperatures near 18°C limit convective potential. Uncertainty persists from potential shifts in upper-level troughing; updated guidance expected from the Israel Meteorological Service by evening could refine probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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