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¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 40%

18°C 29%

16°C 16%

19°C 11%

Polymarket

$22,331 Vol.

17°C 40%

18°C 29%

16°C 16%

19°C 11%

Polymarket

$22,331 Vol.

12°C o menos

$5,863 Vol.

<1%

13°C

$1,845 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$1,660 Vol.

1%

15°C

$1,714 Vol.

3%

16°C

$1,435 Vol.

16%

17°C

$1,882 Vol.

40%

18°C

$2,104 Vol.

29%

19°C

$1,846 Vol.

11%

20°C

$940 Vol.

2%

21°C

$1,558 Vol.

1%

22°C o más

$1,483 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 17°C (40.5%) and 18°C (29.0%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting ARPA Lombardia's latest guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting peak afternoon readings in this range amid partly cloudy skies and moderate insolation following a cloudy morning. Recent ARPA observations show March 2026 temperatures running 2–3°C below seasonal norms of 14–15°C due to unsettled weather and strong winds through March 25–26, but a stabilizing high-pressure ridge enables diurnal heating rebound, with uncertainty in convective clearing timing splitting trader sentiment—persistent clouds capping at 17°C, fuller sun pushing to 18°C. Hourly ARPA station data will resolve the market by evening, as low wind supports standard boundary-layer mixing.

Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 17°C (40.5%) and 18°C (29.0%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting ARPA Lombardia's latest guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting peak afternoon readings in this range amid partly cloudy skies and moderate insolation following a cloudy morning. Recent ARPA observations show March 2026 temperatures running 2–3°C below seasonal norms of 14–15°C due to unsettled weather and strong winds through March 25–26, but a stabilizing high-pressure ridge enables diurnal heating rebound, with uncertainty in convective clearing timing splitting trader sentiment—persistent clouds capping at 17°C, fuller sun pushing to 18°C. Hourly ARPA station data will resolve the market by evening, as low wind supports standard boundary-layer mixing.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 17°C (40.5%) and 18°C (29.0%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting ARPA Lombardia's latest guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting peak afternoon readings in this range amid partly cloudy skies and moderate insolation following a cloudy morning. Recent ARPA observations show March 2026 temperatures running 2–3°C below seasonal norms of 14–15°C due to unsettled weather and strong winds through March 25–26, but a stabilizing high-pressure ridge enables diurnal heating rebound, with uncertainty in convective clearing timing splitting trader sentiment—persistent clouds capping at 17°C, fuller sun pushing to 18°C. Hourly ARPA station data will resolve the market by evening, as low wind supports standard boundary-layer mixing.

Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 17°C (40.5%) and 18°C (29.0%) as Milan's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting ARPA Lombardia's latest guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting peak afternoon readings in this range amid partly cloudy skies and moderate insolation following a cloudy morning. Recent ARPA observations show March 2026 temperatures running 2–3°C below seasonal norms of 14–15°C due to unsettled weather and strong winds through March 25–26, but a stabilizing high-pressure ridge enables diurnal heating rebound, with uncertainty in convective clearing timing splitting trader sentiment—persistent clouds capping at 17°C, fuller sun pushing to 18°C. Hourly ARPA station data will resolve the market by evening, as low wind supports standard boundary-layer mixing.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C" con 40%, seguido de "18°C" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?" ha generado $22.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?" es "17°C" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "18°C" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.