Ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a consensus high temperature around 17-19°C for Milan on March 29, driving closely matched trader probabilities for those outcomes amid mild spring conditions under a building high-pressure ridge over southern Europe. Recent 12Z model runs show ECMWF slightly cooler at 17°C with northerly flow potential dampening peaks, while GFS edges toward 19°C under clearer skies and warmer advection; this spread reflects typical forecast uncertainty from jet stream waviness and boundary layer effects. March climatology averages 13-15°C highs, surpassed by persistent anticyclonic weather, but watch 00Z/12Z updates for refinements as the date nears resolution via official ARPA Lombardia observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?
20°C 25%
18°C 24%
17°C 24%
19°C 22%
12°C o menos
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
10%
15°C
14%
16°C
18%
17°C
24%
18°C
24%
19°C
22%
20°C
16%
21°C
13%
22°C o más
9%
20°C 25%
18°C 24%
17°C 24%
19°C 22%
12°C o menos
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
10%
15°C
14%
16°C
18%
17°C
24%
18°C
24%
19°C
22%
20°C
16%
21°C
13%
22°C o más
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a consensus high temperature around 17-19°C for Milan on March 29, driving closely matched trader probabilities for those outcomes amid mild spring conditions under a building high-pressure ridge over southern Europe. Recent 12Z model runs show ECMWF slightly cooler at 17°C with northerly flow potential dampening peaks, while GFS edges toward 19°C under clearer skies and warmer advection; this spread reflects typical forecast uncertainty from jet stream waviness and boundary layer effects. March climatology averages 13-15°C highs, surpassed by persistent anticyclonic weather, but watch 00Z/12Z updates for refinements as the date nears resolution via official ARPA Lombardia observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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