Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41.5% implied probability for a 70-71°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing persistent marine layer stratus clouds and strengthening onshore flow capping temperatures after the historic mid-March heat dome shifted east. This follows seven record 90°F+ days earlier in the month at downtown Los Angeles, but recent model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF converge on coastal highs of 68-72°F amid cool sea surface temperatures around 60°F and light westerly winds of 5-10 mph. Current morning observations near 59°F support gradual warming, though lingering low clouds introduce uncertainty—full clearing could push toward 72-73°F (19.5% odds), while thicker stratus favors 68-69°F (22.6%). Hourly KLAX METARs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 23.9%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 7%
$63,686 Vol.
$63,686 Vol.
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 23.9%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 7%
$63,686 Vol.
$63,686 Vol.
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41.5% implied probability for a 70-71°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing persistent marine layer stratus clouds and strengthening onshore flow capping temperatures after the historic mid-March heat dome shifted east. This follows seven record 90°F+ days earlier in the month at downtown Los Angeles, but recent model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF converge on coastal highs of 68-72°F amid cool sea surface temperatures around 60°F and light westerly winds of 5-10 mph. Current morning observations near 59°F support gradual warming, though lingering low clouds introduce uncertainty—full clearing could push toward 72-73°F (19.5% odds), while thicker stratus favors 68-69°F (22.6%). Hourly KLAX METARs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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