Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 9°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25 at 100% implied probability, driven by provisional data from the Met Office's official monitoring stations, including Heathrow, which recorded a daytime maximum of 9°C amid cloudy, cool conditions with light winds and no significant solar heating. This aligns with broader UK weather patterns featuring a weak high-pressure ridge suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of 11–12°C. Model forecasts from the past week, including ECMWF and UKMO ensembles, accurately predicted subdued maxima due to persistent overcast skies and Atlantic moisture inflow. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if secondary stations report higher verified peaks before final resolution; no such outliers have emerged in initial quality-controlled observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 25 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 25 de marzo?
9°C 100.0%
5°C o menos <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
5°C o menos
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Sí
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C o más
No
9°C 100.0%
5°C o menos <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
5°C o menos
$0 Vol.
No
6°C
$0 Vol.
No
7°C
$0 Vol.
No
8°C
$0 Vol.
No
9°C
$0 Vol.
Sí
10°C
$0 Vol.
No
11°C
$0 Vol.
No
12°C
$0 Vol.
No
13°C
$0 Vol.
No
14°C
$0 Vol.
No
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 9°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25 at 100% implied probability, driven by provisional data from the Met Office's official monitoring stations, including Heathrow, which recorded a daytime maximum of 9°C amid cloudy, cool conditions with light winds and no significant solar heating. This aligns with broader UK weather patterns featuring a weak high-pressure ridge suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of 11–12°C. Model forecasts from the past week, including ECMWF and UKMO ensembles, accurately predicted subdued maxima due to persistent overcast skies and Atlantic moisture inflow. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if secondary stations report higher verified peaks before final resolution; no such outliers have emerged in initial quality-controlled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 9°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25 at 100% implied probability, driven by provisional data from the Met Office's official monitoring stations, including Heathrow, which recorded a daytime maximum of 9°C amid cloudy, cool conditions with light winds and no significant solar heating. This aligns with broader UK weather patterns featuring a weak high-pressure ridge suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of 11–12°C. Model forecasts from the past week, including ECMWF and UKMO ensembles, accurately predicted subdued maxima due to persistent overcast skies and Atlantic moisture inflow. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if secondary stations report higher verified peaks before final resolution; no such outliers have emerged in initial quality-controlled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 9°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25 at 100% implied probability, driven by provisional data from the Met Office's official monitoring stations, including Heathrow, which recorded a daytime maximum of 9°C amid cloudy, cool conditions with light winds and no significant solar heating. This aligns with broader UK weather patterns featuring a weak high-pressure ridge suppressing temperatures below seasonal averages of 11–12°C. Model forecasts from the past week, including ECMWF and UKMO ensembles, accurately predicted subdued maxima due to persistent overcast skies and Atlantic moisture inflow. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if secondary stations report higher verified peaks before final resolution; no such outliers have emerged in initial quality-controlled observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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