Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12°C as London's highest temperature on March 16, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing mild Atlantic airflow capping warmth amid typical mid-March climatology—historical averages hover around 11-12°C at Heathrow. This positioning reflects high model agreement within 1°C, minimizing upside risk. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen ridge of high pressure ushering southerly winds or urban heat island amplification pushing to 13-14°C, though such deviations occur in under 5% of similar setups per reanalysis data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 16 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 16 de marzo?
12°C 100.0%
5°C o menos <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$17,362 Vol.
$17,362 Vol.
5°C o menos
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Sí
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C o más
No
12°C 100.0%
5°C o menos <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$17,362 Vol.
$17,362 Vol.
5°C o menos
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Sí
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 12°C as London's highest temperature on March 16, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing mild Atlantic airflow capping warmth amid typical mid-March climatology—historical averages hover around 11-12°C at Heathrow. This positioning reflects high model agreement within 1°C, minimizing upside risk. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen ridge of high pressure ushering southerly winds or urban heat island amplification pushing to 13-14°C, though such deviations occur in under 5% of similar setups per reanalysis data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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