National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F o menos <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$182,453 Vol.
$182,453 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
79°F o menos
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Sí
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F o más
No
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F o menos <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$182,453 Vol.
$182,453 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
79°F o menos
$0 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$11,514 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$69,859 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$30,131 Vol.
Sí
86-87°F
$19,092 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$14,510 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$12,362 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$7,690 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$9,410 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$4,791 Vol.
No
98°F o más
$3,094 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$182,453Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$182,453Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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