Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project a high near 62°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward the clustered 60-65°F outcomes amid southerly winds advecting warmer air under a developing upper-level ridge that enhances subsidence and insolation. This setup exceeds the March 29 climatological normal of 52°F despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern favoring cooler anomalies overall. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloud cover—clear skies with strong vertical mixing could boost to 64-65°F, while increased clouds limit to 60-61°F. Traders eye tonight's 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of afternoon peak heating, with minimal precipitation risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
62-63°F 30%
60-61°F 20%
64-65°F 17%
58-59°F 13%
$36,775 Vol.
$36,775 Vol.
53°F o menos
<1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 30%
60-61°F 20%
64-65°F 17%
58-59°F 13%
$36,775 Vol.
$36,775 Vol.
53°F o menos
<1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project a high near 62°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward the clustered 60-65°F outcomes amid southerly winds advecting warmer air under a developing upper-level ridge that enhances subsidence and insolation. This setup exceeds the March 29 climatological normal of 52°F despite a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern favoring cooler anomalies overall. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloud cover—clear skies with strong vertical mixing could boost to 64-65°F, while increased clouds limit to 60-61°F. Traders eye tonight's 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of afternoon peak heating, with minimal precipitation risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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