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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Demócrata

$0 Vol.

95%

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Republicano

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Democratic victory in Hawaii's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93.5%, driven by the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won since statehood in 1959—and incumbent Governor Josh Green's strong position for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating stemming from effective handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii's Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, lopsided voter registration edges, and historical general election landslides (e.g., Green's 63% win in 2022) reinforce this commanding lead ahead of the June filing deadline, August 8 open primaries, and November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Green withdrawal, or unprecedented Republican recruitment, though none have emerged in recent weeks.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Democratic victory in Hawaii's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93.5%, driven by the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won since statehood in 1959—and incumbent Governor Josh Green's strong position for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating stemming from effective handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii's Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, lopsided voter registration edges, and historical general election landslides (e.g., Green's 63% win in 2022) reinforce this commanding lead ahead of the June filing deadline, August 8 open primaries, and November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Green withdrawal, or unprecedented Republican recruitment, though none have emerged in recent weeks.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Democratic victory in Hawaii's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93.5%, driven by the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won since statehood in 1959—and incumbent Governor Josh Green's strong position for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating stemming from effective handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii's Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, lopsided voter registration edges, and historical general election landslides (e.g., Green's 63% win in 2022) reinforce this commanding lead ahead of the June filing deadline, August 8 open primaries, and November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Green withdrawal, or unprecedented Republican recruitment, though none have emerged in recent weeks.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Democratic victory in Hawaii's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93.5%, driven by the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won since statehood in 1959—and incumbent Governor Josh Green's strong position for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating stemming from effective handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii's Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, lopsided voter registration edges, and historical general election landslides (e.g., Green's 63% win in 2022) reinforce this commanding lead ahead of the June filing deadline, August 8 open primaries, and November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Green withdrawal, or unprecedented Republican recruitment, though none have emerged in recent weeks.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Demócrata" con 95%, seguido de "Republicano" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Oct 13, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái" es "Demócrata" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Republicano" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de Hawái" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.