Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$977,203,696 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$977,203,696 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$18,701,829 Vol.

24%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$7,880,848 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$7,267,538 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$9,133,214 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,754,316 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Josh Shapiro

$6,193,655 Vol.

4%

Market icon

James Talarico

$5,693,818 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$12,323,549 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$12,932,274 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Andy Beshear

$7,836,923 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Mark Kelly

$11,955,203 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$5,416,954 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rubén Gallego

$3,756,171 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,431,420 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Michelle Obama

$22,112,026 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,855,124 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$14,946,386 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$21,610,386 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$18,093,450 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,204,893 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Oprah Winfrey

$43,991,680 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$17,214,590 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Liz Cheney

$33,747,914 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$11,301,981 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,874,380 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,555,916 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$26,483,606 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$37,638,164 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$37,310,328 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Zohran Mamdani

$33,339,190 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$42,996,480 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$39,046,912 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$35,739,007 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$25,644,482 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$38,223,246 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphael Warnock

$26,399,715 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$28,139,818 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tedtulo del edtem del grupo: Kim Kardashian

$33,703,293 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del grupo: Jared Polis

$20,024,661 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$34,388,735 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Jasmine Crockett

$23,930,222 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$40,233,112 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$32,807,859 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$32,375,591 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his executive experience, substantial fundraising network, and prominent role as a Trump administration critic since the 2024 election loss, which has elevated his national profile amid calls for party renewal. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 7.6%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm following her recent pledge to oppose all U.S. military aid to Israel, though centrists are mobilizing—particularly in South Carolina—to block left-wing firebrands and promote electable moderates. Senators Jon Ossoff (5.3%) and former Vice President Kamala Harris (4.2%) lag despite some national polling leads, underscoring a fragmented field differentiated by governing records, regional appeal, and donor bases. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early primary state polls, and DNC endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$977,203,696
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his executive experience, substantial fundraising network, and prominent role as a Trump administration critic since the 2024 election loss, which has elevated his national profile amid calls for party renewal. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 7.6%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm following her recent pledge to oppose all U.S. military aid to Israel, though centrists are mobilizing—particularly in South Carolina—to block left-wing firebrands and promote electable moderates. Senators Jon Ossoff (5.3%) and former Vice President Kamala Harris (4.2%) lag despite some national polling leads, underscoring a fragmented field differentiated by governing records, regional appeal, and donor bases. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early primary state polls, and DNC endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$977,203,696
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 44+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, seguido de "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" ha generado $977.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028", explora los 44+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" es "Gavin Newsom" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial demócrata 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.