Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026 parliamentary elections position the Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) as the leading force in national votes for Chamber of Representatives lists, securing 25 seats under proportional representation, while Centro Democrático (CD) holds a firm second with 17 seats ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)'s 13. Trader consensus prices CD at 87% implied probability for second place, driven by consistent partial tallies reported by the National Electoral Council (CNE) showing no viable challenges to its margin over rivals. The past three weeks have seen routine vote scrutiny without disputes or recounts altering standings, though final certification remains pending amid low turnout and fragmented opposition. PLC's trailing position reflects limited centrist appeal, with negligible chances for other parties like Conservadores or Cambio Radical.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCentro Democrático (CD) 86.8%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 10.0%
Pacto Histórico por Colombia (PH) <1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano <1%
$88,907 Vol.
$88,907 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Centro Democrático (CD)
87%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
7%
Pacto Histórico por Colombia (PH)
<1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%
Alianza Verde (AV)
<1%
Partido de la U (La U)
<1%
Coalición MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
Centro Democrático (CD) 86.8%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 10.0%
Pacto Histórico por Colombia (PH) <1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano <1%
$88,907 Vol.
$88,907 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Centro Democrático (CD)
$8,824 Vol.
87%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$24,169 Vol.
7%
Pacto Histórico por Colombia (PH)
$55,913 Vol.
<1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano
$0 Vol.
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Alianza Verde (AV)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Partido de la U (La U)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Coalición MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026 parliamentary elections position the Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) as the leading force in national votes for Chamber of Representatives lists, securing 25 seats under proportional representation, while Centro Democrático (CD) holds a firm second with 17 seats ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)'s 13. Trader consensus prices CD at 87% implied probability for second place, driven by consistent partial tallies reported by the National Electoral Council (CNE) showing no viable challenges to its margin over rivals. The past three weeks have seen routine vote scrutiny without disputes or recounts altering standings, though final certification remains pending amid low turnout and fragmented opposition. PLC's trailing position reflects limited centrist appeal, with negligible chances for other parties like Conservadores or Cambio Radical.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volumen
$88,907Fecha de finalización
Mar 8, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026 parliamentary elections position the Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) as the leading force in national votes for Chamber of Representatives lists, securing 25 seats under proportional representation, while Centro Democrático (CD) holds a firm second with 17 seats ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)'s 13. Trader consensus prices CD at 87% implied probability for second place, driven by consistent partial tallies reported by the National Electoral Council (CNE) showing no viable challenges to its margin over rivals. The past three weeks have seen routine vote scrutiny without disputes or recounts altering standings, though final certification remains pending amid low turnout and fragmented opposition. PLC's trailing position reflects limited centrist appeal, with negligible chances for other parties like Conservadores or Cambio Radical.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$88,907Fecha de finalización
Mar 8, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026 parliamentary elections position the Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) as the leading force in national votes for Chamber of Representatives lists, securing 25 seats under proportional representation, while Centro Democrático (CD) holds a firm second with 17 seats ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)'s 13. Trader consensus prices CD at 87% implied probability for second place, driven by consistent partial tallies reported by the National Electoral Council (CNE) showing no viable challenges to its margin over rivals. The past three weeks have seen routine vote scrutiny without disputes or recounts altering standings, though final certification remains pending amid low turnout and fragmented opposition. PLC's trailing position reflects limited centrist appeal, with negligible chances for other parties like Conservadores or Cambio Radical.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes