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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California

Eric Swalwell 59%

Tom Steyer 12.0%

Steve Hilton 10.1%

Matt Mahan 8%

Polymarket

$6,977,888 Vol.

Eric Swalwell 59%

Tom Steyer 12.0%

Steve Hilton 10.1%

Matt Mahan 8%

Polymarket

$6,977,888 Vol.

Eric Swalwell

$101,436 Vol.

59%

Tom Steyer

$2,635,353 Vol.

12%

Steve Hilton

$684,622 Vol.

10%

Matt Mahan

$167,579 Vol.

8%

Elaine Culotti

$54,004 Vol.

4%

Chad Bianco

$671,694 Vol.

2%

Katie Porter

$595,581 Vol.

2%

Eleni Kounalakis

$214,663 Vol.

1%

Nicole Shanahan

$147,757 Vol.

1%

Rick Caruso

$204,826 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$173,775 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$114,313 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Becerra

$291,979 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$66,249 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$53,797 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$76,643 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$64,989 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$163,985 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$22,239 Vol.

<1%

Kamala Harris

$116,302 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$132,581 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$89,954 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$133,567 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus favors Rep. Eric Swalwell at 59% implied probability to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, driven by his recent surge in Emerson College polling released March 11, where he leads the nonpartisan June primary field amid 25% undecided voters. His national name recognition from House Intelligence Committee service and anti-Trump advocacy has propelled him ahead of Democrat Tom Steyer (12%) and Republican Steve Hilton (10%), reflecting concerns over a fragmented Democratic field potentially allowing two Republicans to advance under the top-two system. Affordability issues dominate voter priorities per PPIC surveys, with no party endorsement secured; the primary remains competitive as fundraising and endorsements intensify ahead of June 2.

Trader consensus favors Rep. Eric Swalwell at 59% implied probability to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, driven by his recent surge in Emerson College polling released March 11, where he leads the nonpartisan June primary field amid 25% undecided voters. His national name recognition from House Intelligence Committee service and anti-Trump advocacy has propelled him ahead of Democrat Tom Steyer (12%) and Republican Steve Hilton (10%), reflecting concerns over a fragmented Democratic field potentially allowing two Republicans to advance under the top-two system. Affordability issues dominate voter priorities per PPIC surveys, with no party endorsement secured; the primary remains competitive as fundraising and endorsements intensify ahead of June 2.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus favors Rep. Eric Swalwell at 59% implied probability to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, driven by his recent surge in Emerson College polling released March 11, where he leads the nonpartisan June primary field amid 25% undecided voters. His national name recognition from House Intelligence Committee service and anti-Trump advocacy has propelled him ahead of Democrat Tom Steyer (12%) and Republican Steve Hilton (10%), reflecting concerns over a fragmented Democratic field potentially allowing two Republicans to advance under the top-two system. Affordability issues dominate voter priorities per PPIC surveys, with no party endorsement secured; the primary remains competitive as fundraising and endorsements intensify ahead of June 2.

Trader consensus favors Rep. Eric Swalwell at 59% implied probability to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, driven by his recent surge in Emerson College polling released March 11, where he leads the nonpartisan June primary field amid 25% undecided voters. His national name recognition from House Intelligence Committee service and anti-Trump advocacy has propelled him ahead of Democrat Tom Steyer (12%) and Republican Steve Hilton (10%), reflecting concerns over a fragmented Democratic field potentially allowing two Republicans to advance under the top-two system. Affordability issues dominate voter priorities per PPIC surveys, with no party endorsement secured; the primary remains competitive as fundraising and endorsements intensify ahead of June 2.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eric Swalwell" con 59%, seguido de "Tom Steyer" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" ha generado $7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" es "Eric Swalwell" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tom Steyer" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.