Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 78-79°F as the highest temperature in Denver on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast and converging global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peaks in this narrow band amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Rockies. This positioning reflects Denver's vulnerability to downslope chinook winds amplifying spring warmth—historical March records show outliers up to 80°F+—supported by current upper-air patterns favoring adiabatic warming. Uncertainty lingers from model ensembles indicating 10-20% spread; a sharper cold front or underpredicted cloud cover could drop highs to 70s lower, while intensified solar insolation might push toward 80°F, though low-level moisture caps extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$161,367 Vol.
$161,367 Vol.
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$161,367 Vol.
$161,367 Vol.
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 78-79°F as the highest temperature in Denver on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast and converging global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peaks in this narrow band amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Rockies. This positioning reflects Denver's vulnerability to downslope chinook winds amplifying spring warmth—historical March records show outliers up to 80°F+—supported by current upper-air patterns favoring adiabatic warming. Uncertainty lingers from model ensembles indicating 10-20% spread; a sharper cold front or underpredicted cloud cover could drop highs to 70s lower, while intensified solar insolation might push toward 80°F, though low-level moisture caps extremes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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