Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

<1%

Anthony Joshua

100%

Jake Paul

<1%

Anthony Joshua

100%

$60m Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

100%

chance

$27m Vol.

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ehud Barak

92%

Alec Baldwin

87%

Ehud Barak

92%

Alec Baldwin

87%

$1m Vol.

TikTok sale announced by...?

December 31

76%

March 31

94%

December 31

76%

March 31

94%

$6m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025?

280-299

11%

300-319

12%

280-299

11%

300-319

12%

$10m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

54%

Kevin Warsh

19%

Kevin Hassett

54%

Kevin Warsh

19%

$73m Vol.

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

January 31, 2026

14%

December 31, 2025

January 31, 2026

14%

$29m Vol.

NFC West Winner

Seattle

52%

Los Angeles R

26%

Seattle

52%

Los Angeles R

26%

$2m Vol.

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

21%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

21%

$42m Vol.

Epstein client list released in 2025?

chance

$637k Vol.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

20%

chance

$183k Vol.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B

8.1 - 8.2B

<7.9B

8.1 - 8.2B

$824k Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Tarcisio de Freitas

18%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Tarcisio de Freitas

18%

$9m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

December 31

12%

December 23

December 31

12%

$41m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

79%

>$2B

70%

>$1B

79%

>$2B

70%

$29m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

36%

chance

$410k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

18%

Susie Wiles

14%

Kristi Noem

18%

Susie Wiles

14%

$355k Vol.

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 31

29%

January 31

66%

December 31

29%

January 31

66%

$747k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

chance

$61m Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

15%

England

13%

Spain

15%

England

13%

$26m Vol.

Crimson Tide

100%

Sooners

$5m Vol.

•CFB• 1:00 AM

Paul vs Joshua - Method of Victory

Paul by KO/TKO/DQ

<1%

Paul by Decision / Tech Decision

<1%

Paul by KO/TKO/DQ

<1%

Paul by Decision / Tech Decision

<1%

$7m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

65%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

17%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

65%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

17%

$78m Vol.

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office

<90m

55%

90-101m

41%

<90m

55%

90-101m

41%

$7m Vol.

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