Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$27,071,439 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
>$1B
$11,109,159 Vol.
68%
>$1B
$11,109,159 Vol.
68%
>$2B
$7,840,862 Vol.
59%
>$2B
$7,840,862 Vol.
59%
>$3B
$1,725,926 Vol.
43%
>$3B
$1,725,926 Vol.
43%
>$4B
$3,361,596 Vol.
22%
>$4B
$3,361,596 Vol.
22%
>$6B
$1,553,194 Vol.
10%
>$6B
$1,553,194 Vol.
10%
>$8B
$706,431 Vol.
4%
>$8B
$706,431 Vol.
4%
>$10B
$381,498 Vol.
2%
>$10B
$381,498 Vol.
2%
>$14B
$392,774 Vol.
1%
>$14B
$392,774 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $2,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Created At: Jun 26, 2025, 7:48 PM UTC
Volume
$27,071,439End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jun 26, 2025, 7:48 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...$27,071,439 Vol.
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
>$1B
$11,109,159 Vol.
68%
>$2B
$7,840,862 Vol.
59%
>$3B
$1,725,926 Vol.
43%
>$4B
$3,361,596 Vol.
22%
>$6B
$1,553,194 Vol.
10%
>$8B
$706,431 Vol.
4%
>$10B
$381,498 Vol.
2%
>$14B
$392,774 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$27,071,439End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Jun 26, 2025, 7:48 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Beware of external links.
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