Satoshi predictions & odds

Crypto·Bitcoin

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

$5M Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$5M Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Big Tech

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

$2M Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$2M Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Epstein

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

$41.3K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$41.3K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Satoshi

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

$16.5K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

97%

Nothing

$16.5K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Bitcoin

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

$22.9K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$22.9K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Bitcoin

Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

$3.9K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

December 31, 2027

$3.9K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Finance·MicroStrategy

Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

$73.4K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$73.4K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Bitcoin

US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

$0 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

29%

December 31, 2027

$0 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Crypto·Bitcoin

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

$27M Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

19%

by September 30, 2027

$27M Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$196K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$196K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·MicroStrategy

Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 1-7?

$83 Vol.

$193 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

$83 Vol.

$193 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Politics·PM

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

$33.0K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$33.0K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

$2.9K Vol.

$591 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2.9K Vol.

$591 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·MicroStrategy

Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 25-31?

$932 Vol.

$495 Liq.

20%

$932 Vol.

$495 Liq.

Geopolitics·China

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

$95.7K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

59%

December 31

$95.7K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Pre Market

Will Saturn launch a token by ___?

$9.0K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

82%

December 31, 2027

$9.0K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Finance·MicroStrategy

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?

$2.2K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

10%

$2.2K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Crypto

Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?

$2.0K Vol.

$798 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

99%

$2.0K Vol.

$798 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·MicroStrategy

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

$507K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

1M+

$507K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

$2.3K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$2.3K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Satoshi.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Satoshi that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $35.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “When will Bitcoin hit $150k?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “When will Bitcoin hit $150k?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to by September 30, 2027. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Satoshi predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Satoshi shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “When will Bitcoin hit $150k?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Satoshi prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Satoshi prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Satoshi predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Satoshi prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Satoshi markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Satoshi prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Satoshi predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Satoshi odds?

Can I track Satoshi predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Satoshi markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Satoshi prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Satoshi markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Satoshi prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Satoshi predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Satoshi odds?

Can I track Satoshi predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Satoshi markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Satoshi predictions & odds