Name: How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?
Start: 2025-12-12T19:46:14.371297Z
End: 2025-12-25T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to the total number of gifts delivered by Santa for Christmas 2025 as reported by the NORAD Santa Tracker website. 

If the reported total number of gifts delivered falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as data is finalized for 2025.

If data is not available by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the NORAD Tracks Santa website, https://www.noradsanta.org/en/. 

<7.9B

8 - 8.1B

8.2 - 8.3B

7.9 - 8B

8.1 - 8.2B

8.3 - 8.4B

>8.4B 

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between December 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for December 2025 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of December 2025.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?

This market will resolve according to the company in the Nasdaq-100 that achieves the highest performance during December 2025.

Performance will be measured as the percentage change in each specified security's price during this market's timeframe, calculated by comparing the closing price for the last official trading day prior to this timeframe (November 28, 2025) to the closing price for the last official trading day within this timeframe (December 31, 2025).

All companies that are constituents of the Nasdaq-100 as of market issuance will be eligible for consideration, regardless of whether they are removed before the market's resolution date. Any company added to the index after market creation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the “Historical Quotes” page for the specified ticker on Nasdaq at: nasdaq.com.

Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied.

If multiple specified companies exhibit exactly the same highest performance, the market will resolve to the company whose ticker appears first in alphabetical order.

If any unspecified company achieves the highest performance during the relevant period, the market will resolve to “Other”.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used.

If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.

Updates to historical prices displayed after resolution will not be considered.

Will Analog Devices (ADI) be the best performing company in the Nasdaq 100 during December 2025?

This market will resolve according to the company in the Nasdaq-100 that achieves the highest performance during calendar year 2025.

Performance will be measured as the percentage change in each specified security's price during this market's timeframe, calculated by comparing the closing price for the last official trading day prior to this timeframe (December 31, 2024) to the closing price for the last official trading day within this timeframe (December 31, 2025).

All companies that are constituents of the Nasdaq-100 as of market issuance will be eligible for consideration, regardless of whether they are removed before the market's resolution date. Any company added to the index after market creation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the “Historical Quotes” page for the specified ticker on Nasdaq at: nasdaq.com.

Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied.

If multiple specified companies exhibit exactly the same highest performance, the market will resolve to the company whose ticker appears first in alphabetical order.

If any unspecified company achieves the highest performance during the relevant period, the market will resolve to “Other”.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used.

If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.

Updates to historical prices displayed after resolution will not be considered.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B
$82,374 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

7.9 - 8B
$80,249 Vol.
<1%

8 - 8.1B
$99,441 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

8.1 - 8.2B
$113,409 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

8.2 - 8.3B
$174,817 Vol.
92%
0123456789
%

8.3 - 8.4B
$91,334 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

>8.4B
$81,186 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

Rules

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

Market Context

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

About

Related

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B$82,374 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.5¢

7.9 - 8B$80,249 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

8 - 8.1B$99,441 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.8¢

8.1 - 8.2B$113,409 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.1¢buy No99.7¢

8.2 - 8.3B$174,817 Vol.92%0123456789%buy Yes93¢buy No9¢

8.3 - 8.4B$91,334 Vol.6%0123456789%buy Yes6.2¢buy No94.2¢

>8.4B $81,186 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.6¢buy No98.8¢

Market Context

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

Rules

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

Market Context

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

About

Related

<7.9B
$82,374 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

7.9 - 8B
$80,249 Vol.
<1%

8 - 8.1B
$99,441 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

8.1 - 8.2B
$113,409 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

8.2 - 8.3B
$174,817 Vol.
92%
0123456789
%

8.3 - 8.4B
$91,334 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

>8.4B
$81,186 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%