Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

21%

chance

$20m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

56%

chance

$2m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

36%

January 23

49%

January 18

36%

January 23

49%

$19m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

12%

chance

$77k Vol.

Aurora Gaming

85%

HOTU

15%

Game 3 • Best of 3

$917k Vol.

•COUNTER STRIKE

Bulls

18%

Rockets

83%

$2m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 1:00 AM

Spurs

27%

Thunder

74%

$2m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 1:00 AM

Flames

45%

Blue Jackets

56%

$828k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Maple Leafs

43%

Utah

57%

$991k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 3:00 AM

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%

chance

$8m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

40%

chance

$8m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

23%

Los Angeles R

20%

Seattle

23%

Los Angeles R

20%

$673m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

6%

May 14

9%

March 31

6%

May 14

9%

$340k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026?

40-64

5%

65-89

32%

40-64

5%

65-89

32%

$889k Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

66%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

António José Seguro (IND)

66%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

$101m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

27%

Stephen Miran

13%

Pam Bondi

27%

Stephen Miran

13%

$784k Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

27%

chance

$3m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

36%

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

36%

$179m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 14

8%

January 15

8%

January 14

8%

January 15

8%

$554k Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

70%

chance

$394k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

$4m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

$312m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

28%

chance

$2m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$184m Vol.

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