Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

7%

chance

$33m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

59%

Christopher Waller

18%

Kevin Warsh

59%

Christopher Waller

18%

$204m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

76%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

16%

António José Seguro (IND)

76%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

16%

$112m Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

17%

chance

$10m Vol.

Pelicans

0%

Pacers

100%

Q4 - 01:11

$4m Vol.

•NBA

Cavaliers

46%

76ers

55%

Q4 - 05:40

$2m Vol.

•NBA

Sharks

15%

Red Wings

85%

P3 - 09:04

$2m Vol.

•NHL

Panthers

0%

Hurricanes

100%

P3 - 11:18

$1m Vol.

•NHL

Bills

48%

Broncos

53%

$1m Vol.

•NFL• 9:30 PM

49ers

26%

Seahawks

75%

$2m Vol.

•NFL•Tomorrow 1:00 AM

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

chance

$3m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

4%

January 23

15%

January 18

4%

January 23

15%

$59m Vol.

GPT ads by...? card icon

GPT ads by March 31?

95%

chance

$256k Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

39%

chance

$3m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

$383m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

21%

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

21%

$676m Vol.

Insurrection Act invoked by...? card icon

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

January 31

22%

March 31

32%

January 31

22%

March 31

32%

$180k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

28%

Kristi Noem

20%

Pam Bondi

28%

Kristi Noem

20%

$997k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

21%

chance

$11m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

4%

May 14

9%

March 31

4%

May 14

9%

$436k Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

24%

chance

$2m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

42%

chance

$7m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

chance

$107k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

$5m Vol.

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