Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Time 2025 Person of the Year card icon

Time 2025 Person of the Year

Jensen Huang

18%

Jensen Huang

18%

$31m Vol.

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Fed decision in December? card icon

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

95%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

95%

$313m Vol.

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Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

18%

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

18%

$47k Vol.

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Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

9%

March 31, 2026

30%

December 31, 2025

9%

March 31, 2026

30%

$22m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 2 - December 9, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 2 - December 9, 2025?

400-419

7%

420-439

65%

400-419

7%

420-439

65%

$16m Vol.

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

5%

chance

$51m Vol.

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Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

17%

Seattle

11%

Los Angeles R

17%

Seattle

11%

$616m Vol.

College Football Champion 2026 card icon

College Football Champion 2026

Ohio State

30%

Indiana

22%

Ohio State

30%

Indiana

22%

$3m Vol.

Largest Company end of 2025? card icon

Largest Company end of 2025?

NVIDIA

93%

Apple

6%

NVIDIA

93%

Apple

6%

$51m Vol.

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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 105,000

18%

↑ 100,000

30%

↑ 105,000

18%

↑ 100,000

30%

$93m Vol.

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Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? card icon

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

December 9

3%

December 13

90%

December 9

3%

December 13

90%

$1m Vol.

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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

600B–700B

6%

800B–900B

6%

600B–700B

6%

800B–900B

6%

$105k Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

16%

England

13%

Spain

16%

England

13%

$16m Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

61%

December 31

76%

December 19

61%

December 31

76%

$3m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

77%

Kevin Warsh

12%

Kevin Hassett

77%

Kevin Warsh

12%

$21m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 9

1%

December 15

13%

December 9

1%

December 15

13%

$35m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on December 9? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 9?

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

$3m Vol.

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Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

December 8

100%

December 9

40%

December 8

100%

December 9

40%

$6m Vol.

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? card icon

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

97%

chance

$5m Vol.

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