Traders price a 65% implied probability on "No" for Donald Trump wearing a yarmulke in 2026, reflecting the absence of any announced White House or foreign policy schedule mandating such an appearance, like a state visit to Israel or major Jewish commemoration. Trump wore one during his 2017 Western Wall trip as president, signaling strong bilateral ties, but recent transition developments—including calls with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and pro-Israel cabinet nominees like Mike Huckabee as ambassador—focus on broader Middle East diplomacy without 2026 specifics. Absent late-breaking diplomatic summits or domestic events, the wisdom of crowds discounts low-likelihood scenarios amid packed presidential priorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Traders price a 65% implied probability on "No" for Donald Trump wearing a yarmulke in 2026, reflecting the absence of any announced White House or foreign policy schedule mandating such an appearance, like a state visit to Israel or major Jewish commemoration. Trump wore one during his 2017 Western Wall trip as president, signaling strong bilateral ties, but recent transition developments—including calls with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and pro-Israel cabinet nominees like Mike Huckabee as ambassador—focus on broader Middle East diplomacy without 2026 specifics. Absent late-breaking diplomatic summits or domestic events, the wisdom of crowds discounts low-likelihood scenarios amid packed presidential priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
市场开放时间： Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
交易量
$6,107结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Traders price a 65% implied probability on "No" for Donald Trump wearing a yarmulke in 2026, reflecting the absence of any announced White House or foreign policy schedule mandating such an appearance, like a state visit to Israel or major Jewish commemoration. Trump wore one during his 2017 Western Wall trip as president, signaling strong bilateral ties, but recent transition developments—including calls with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and pro-Israel cabinet nominees like Mike Huckabee as ambassador—focus on broader Middle East diplomacy without 2026 specifics. Absent late-breaking diplomatic summits or domestic events, the wisdom of crowds discounts low-likelihood scenarios amid packed presidential priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
交易量
$6,107结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price a 65% implied probability on "No" for Donald Trump wearing a yarmulke in 2026, reflecting the absence of any announced White House or foreign policy schedule mandating such an appearance, like a state visit to Israel or major Jewish commemoration. Trump wore one during his 2017 Western Wall trip as president, signaling strong bilateral ties, but recent transition developments—including calls with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and pro-Israel cabinet nominees like Mike Huckabee as ambassador—focus on broader Middle East diplomacy without 2026 specifics. Absent late-breaking diplomatic summits or domestic events, the wisdom of crowds discounts low-likelihood scenarios amid packed presidential priorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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