Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of El Obeid, North Kordofan's capital, following their March 6 operation retaking nearby Bara and destroying dozens of Rapid Support Forces (RSF) vehicles in defensive clashes north of the city. Despite RSF drone strikes causing blackouts and civilian casualties in early March, and recapturing Bara on March 16 to control segments of the El Obeid-Omdurman highway, no ground advances have breached El Obeid itself amid ongoing stalemates. With the March 31 deadline approaching, traders' 96.5% consensus on "No" reflects SAF reinforcements and RSF logistical constraints in Kordofan, though a surprise escalation via Ethiopian-border incursions or massed troops could shift dynamics before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture El Obeid (https://maps.app.goo.gl/NQaTN51errVH9KyN6) by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "El-Obeid Great Mosque" (مسجد الأبيّض الكبير: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LyxD1PPGux7CYSdYA) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of El Obeid, North Kordofan's capital, following their March 6 operation retaking nearby Bara and destroying dozens of Rapid Support Forces (RSF) vehicles in defensive clashes north of the city. Despite RSF drone strikes causing blackouts and civilian casualties in early March, and recapturing Bara on March 16 to control segments of the El Obeid-Omdurman highway, no ground advances have breached El Obeid itself amid ongoing stalemates. With the March 31 deadline approaching, traders' 96.5% consensus on "No" reflects SAF reinforcements and RSF logistical constraints in Kordofan, though a surprise escalation via Ethiopian-border incursions or massed troops could shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture El Obeid (https://maps.app.goo.gl/NQaTN51errVH9KyN6) by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "El-Obeid Great Mosque" (مسجد الأبيّض الكبير: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LyxD1PPGux7CYSdYA) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "El-Obeid Great Mosque" (مسجد الأبيّض الكبير: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LyxD1PPGux7CYSdYA) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$2,965结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture El Obeid (https://maps.app.goo.gl/NQaTN51errVH9KyN6) by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "El-Obeid Great Mosque" (مسجد الأبيّض الكبير: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LyxD1PPGux7CYSdYA) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of El Obeid, North Kordofan's capital, following their March 6 operation retaking nearby Bara and destroying dozens of Rapid Support Forces (RSF) vehicles in defensive clashes north of the city. Despite RSF drone strikes causing blackouts and civilian casualties in early March, and recapturing Bara on March 16 to control segments of the El Obeid-Omdurman highway, no ground advances have breached El Obeid itself amid ongoing stalemates. With the March 31 deadline approaching, traders' 96.5% consensus on "No" reflects SAF reinforcements and RSF logistical constraints in Kordofan, though a surprise escalation via Ethiopian-border incursions or massed troops could shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture El Obeid (https://maps.app.goo.gl/NQaTN51errVH9KyN6) by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "El-Obeid Great Mosque" (مسجد الأبيّض الكبير: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LyxD1PPGux7CYSdYA) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "El-Obeid Great Mosque" (مسجد الأبيّض الكبير: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LyxD1PPGux7CYSdYA) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
交易量
$2,965结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of El Obeid, North Kordofan's capital, following their March 6 operation retaking nearby Bara and destroying dozens of Rapid Support Forces (RSF) vehicles in defensive clashes north of the city. Despite RSF drone strikes causing blackouts and civilian casualties in early March, and recapturing Bara on March 16 to control segments of the El Obeid-Omdurman highway, no ground advances have breached El Obeid itself amid ongoing stalemates. With the March 31 deadline approaching, traders' 96.5% consensus on "No" reflects SAF reinforcements and RSF logistical constraints in Kordofan, though a surprise escalation via Ethiopian-border incursions or massed troops could shift dynamics before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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