Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 99.4% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visiting New York City by March 31, reflecting no official announcements, scheduled itineraries, or diplomatic summons anchoring such a trip amid the intensifying Gaza conflict. Recent war cabinet deliberations and Israeli military actions, including operations around Rafah, have kept Netanyahu domestically anchored, while anticipated massive protests in NYC—fueled by US campus unrest and anti-government sentiment in Israel—pose severe security risks. Strained bilateral ties, highlighted by US pauses on certain arms shipments and White House criticisms of Rafah plans, further diminish prospects. Only an abrupt UN Security Council emergency session or surprise summit could shift dynamics before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$152,995 交易量
$152,995 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$152,995 交易量
$152,995 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 99.4% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visiting New York City by March 31, reflecting no official announcements, scheduled itineraries, or diplomatic summons anchoring such a trip amid the intensifying Gaza conflict. Recent war cabinet deliberations and Israeli military actions, including operations around Rafah, have kept Netanyahu domestically anchored, while anticipated massive protests in NYC—fueled by US campus unrest and anti-government sentiment in Israel—pose severe security risks. Strained bilateral ties, highlighted by US pauses on certain arms shipments and White House criticisms of Rafah plans, further diminish prospects. Only an abrupt UN Security Council emergency session or surprise summit could shift dynamics before resolution.
If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
交易量
$152,995结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 99.4% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visiting New York City by March 31, reflecting no official announcements, scheduled itineraries, or diplomatic summons anchoring such a trip amid the intensifying Gaza conflict. Recent war cabinet deliberations and Israeli military actions, including operations around Rafah, have kept Netanyahu domestically anchored, while anticipated massive protests in NYC—fueled by US campus unrest and anti-government sentiment in Israel—pose severe security risks. Strained bilateral ties, highlighted by US pauses on certain arms shipments and White House criticisms of Rafah plans, further diminish prospects. Only an abrupt UN Security Council emergency session or surprise summit could shift dynamics before resolution.
If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$152,995结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 99.4% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visiting New York City by March 31, reflecting no official announcements, scheduled itineraries, or diplomatic summons anchoring such a trip amid the intensifying Gaza conflict. Recent war cabinet deliberations and Israeli military actions, including operations around Rafah, have kept Netanyahu domestically anchored, while anticipated massive protests in NYC—fueled by US campus unrest and anti-government sentiment in Israel—pose severe security risks. Strained bilateral ties, highlighted by US pauses on certain arms shipments and White House criticisms of Rafah plans, further diminish prospects. Only an abrupt UN Security Council emergency session or surprise summit could shift dynamics before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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