Market icon

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?

Market icon

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?

$4,338,165 交易量

Jun 30, 2025
Polymarket

$4,338,165 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$800,022 交易量

No

July 4

$1,128,799 交易量

No

July 31

$1,213,549 交易量

Yes

December 31

$1,195,795 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"July 31",概率为 100%,其次是"December 31",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?"已产生 $4.3 million 的总交易量(自Jun 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?"的当前领先者是"July 31",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"December 31",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。