Post-March 8 congressional elections and interparty consultations that finalized presidential nominees, recent polls show no candidate nearing the absolute majority required for a first-round outright win on May 31. Leftist Iván Cepeda leads at 34-37% in surveys from Guarumo/EcoAnalítica (March 19-25), CNC (March 17-21), and GAD3 (March 16-18), followed by right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella at 20-28% and center-right Paloma Valencia at 15-20%, reflecting a fragmented electorate split across ideologies. This persistent multipolar race, consistent with 2018 and 2022 runoffs, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 88%, anticipating a June 28 second round amid ongoing campaign momentum and undecided voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$33,462 交易量
$33,462 交易量
May 31, 2026
是
$33,462 交易量
$33,462 交易量
May 31, 2026
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Post-March 8 congressional elections and interparty consultations that finalized presidential nominees, recent polls show no candidate nearing the absolute majority required for a first-round outright win on May 31. Leftist Iván Cepeda leads at 34-37% in surveys from Guarumo/EcoAnalítica (March 19-25), CNC (March 17-21), and GAD3 (March 16-18), followed by right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella at 20-28% and center-right Paloma Valencia at 15-20%, reflecting a fragmented electorate split across ideologies. This persistent multipolar race, consistent with 2018 and 2022 runoffs, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 88%, anticipating a June 28 second round amid ongoing campaign momentum and undecided voters.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
交易量
$33,462结束日期
May 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Post-March 8 congressional elections and interparty consultations that finalized presidential nominees, recent polls show no candidate nearing the absolute majority required for a first-round outright win on May 31. Leftist Iván Cepeda leads at 34-37% in surveys from Guarumo/EcoAnalítica (March 19-25), CNC (March 17-21), and GAD3 (March 16-18), followed by right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella at 20-28% and center-right Paloma Valencia at 15-20%, reflecting a fragmented electorate split across ideologies. This persistent multipolar race, consistent with 2018 and 2022 runoffs, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 88%, anticipating a June 28 second round amid ongoing campaign momentum and undecided voters.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$33,462结束日期
May 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Post-March 8 congressional elections and interparty consultations that finalized presidential nominees, recent polls show no candidate nearing the absolute majority required for a first-round outright win on May 31. Leftist Iván Cepeda leads at 34-37% in surveys from Guarumo/EcoAnalítica (March 19-25), CNC (March 17-21), and GAD3 (March 16-18), followed by right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella at 20-28% and center-right Paloma Valencia at 15-20%, reflecting a fragmented electorate split across ideologies. This persistent multipolar race, consistent with 2018 and 2022 runoffs, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 88%, anticipating a June 28 second round amid ongoing campaign momentum and undecided voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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