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政治·委内瑞拉

谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉？

Market icon
政治·委内瑞拉

谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉？

$17,995 交易量

Polymarket

$17,995 交易量

Polymarket

Jamie Dimon

$0 交易量

89%

查尔斯·迈耶斯

$0 交易量

31%

迪诺拉·菲格拉

$0 交易量

28%

卡罗琳·利维特

$0 交易量

21%

Dan Caine

$0 交易量

14%

马尔科·卢比奥

$7,992 交易量

10%

唐纳德·特朗普

$2,817 交易量

6%

贾里德·库什纳

$1,016 交易量

8%

埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯·乌鲁蒂亚

$0 交易量

8%

基尔·斯塔默

$616 交易量

7%

埃马纽埃尔·马克龙

$330 交易量

6%

拉里·芬克

$0 交易量

6%

Pete Hegseth

$0 交易量

3%

玛丽亚·科丽娜·马查多

$0 交易量

6%

JD Vance

$0 交易量

7%

尼古拉斯·马杜罗

$1,606 交易量

1%

理查德·格雷内尔

$0 交易量

50%

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Venezuela remains diplomatically isolated after Nicolás Maduro's disputed July 2024 election win and January 10, 2025, inauguration, which the opposition and US-led countries rejected amid fraud claims, sustaining oil sanctions and non-recognition. No confirmed high-profile visits have occurred in early 2025, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over potential breakthroughs like US envoy dispatches under the incoming Trump administration or regional diplomacy from Colombia's Petro or Brazil's Lula amid migration and energy pressures. Key watchpoints include State Department announcements, OAS resolutions, and bilateral talks before the March 31 deadline, as any official trip could signal de-escalation or policy shifts in this contested political standoff.

Venezuela remains diplomatically isolated after Nicolás Maduro's disputed July 2024 election win and January 10, 2025, inauguration, which the opposition and US-led countries rejected amid fraud claims, sustaining oil sanctions and non-recognition. No confirmed high-profile visits have occurred in early 2025, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over potential breakthroughs like US envoy dispatches under the incoming Trump administration or regional diplomacy from Colombia's Petro or Brazil's Lula amid migration and energy pressures. Key watchpoints include State Department announcements, OAS resolutions, and bilateral talks before the March 31 deadline, as any official trip could signal de-escalation or policy shifts in this contested political standoff.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Venezuela remains diplomatically isolated after Nicolás Maduro's disputed July 2024 election win and January 10, 2025, inauguration, which the opposition and US-led countries rejected amid fraud claims, sustaining oil sanctions and non-recognition. No confirmed high-profile visits have occurred in early 2025, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over potential breakthroughs like US envoy dispatches under the incoming Trump administration or regional diplomacy from Colombia's Petro or Brazil's Lula amid migration and energy pressures. Key watchpoints include State Department announcements, OAS resolutions, and bilateral talks before the March 31 deadline, as any official trip could signal de-escalation or policy shifts in this contested political standoff.

Venezuela remains diplomatically isolated after Nicolás Maduro's disputed July 2024 election win and January 10, 2025, inauguration, which the opposition and US-led countries rejected amid fraud claims, sustaining oil sanctions and non-recognition. No confirmed high-profile visits have occurred in early 2025, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over potential breakthroughs like US envoy dispatches under the incoming Trump administration or regional diplomacy from Colombia's Petro or Brazil's Lula amid migration and energy pressures. Key watchpoints include State Department announcements, OAS resolutions, and bilateral talks before the March 31 deadline, as any official trip could signal de-escalation or policy shifts in this contested political standoff.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 18 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"约翰·拉特克利夫"，概率为 100%，其次是"理查德·格雷内尔"，概率为 50%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉？"已产生 $18K 的总交易量（自Jan 4, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 18 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉？"的当前领先者是"约翰·拉特克利夫"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"理查德·格雷内尔"，概率为 50%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。