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谁将在2027年之前离开特朗普政府?

Market icon

谁将在2027年之前离开特朗普政府?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$257,657 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$257,657 交易量

Polymarket

克里斯蒂·诺姆

$77,621 交易量

59%

大卫·萨克斯

$9 交易量

45%

图尔西·加巴德

$0 交易量

42%

潘·邦迪

$40,778 交易量

38%

霍华德·卢特尼克

$29,181 交易量

38%

卡罗琳·利维特

$7,514 交易量

37%

丹·斯卡维诺

$0 交易量

34%

卡什·帕特尔

$0 交易量

32%

皮特·海格塞斯

$4,409 交易量

32%

约翰·拉特克利夫

$0 交易量

31%

罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世

$61,171 交易量

31%

斯蒂芬·米勒

$0 交易量

28%

苏西·怀尔斯

$31,829 交易量

26%

汤姆·霍曼

$0 交易量

20%

拉塞尔·沃特

$0 交易量

17%

斯科特·贝森特

$0 交易量

16%

马尔科·鲁比奥

$0 交易量

13%

李泽尔丁

$0 交易量

13%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
交易量
$257,657
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 10:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2027年之前离开特朗普政府?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 19 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"丹·邦吉诺",概率为 100%,其次是"克里斯蒂·诺姆",概率为 59%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将在2027年之前离开特朗普政府?"已产生 $257.7K 的总交易量(自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2027年之前离开特朗普政府?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 19 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2027年之前离开特朗普政府?"的当前领先者是"丹·邦吉诺",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"克里斯蒂·诺姆",概率为 59%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2027年之前离开特朗普政府?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。