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政治·比比

内塔尼亚胡是否会在6月30日之前得到赦免？

Market icon
政治·比比

内塔尼亚胡是否会在6月30日之前得到赦免？

是

14% 概率
Polymarket

$53,809 交易量

是

14% 概率
Polymarket

$53,809 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 86% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receiving a pardon by June 30, driven by strong judicial resistance to his unprecedented November 2025 pre-trial clemency request amid ongoing corruption trial testimony, including recent April court appearances. The Justice Ministry's Pardons Department opposes granting relief without an admission of guilt, citing equality-before-the-law concerns and lack of precedents, a stance reaffirmed in materials transferred April 1 following President Isaac Herzog's March 29 request for supplementary details on pre-conviction cases. While Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu backed the pardon on public-interest grounds and U.S. President Donald Trump has urged immediate action, Herzog awaits a formal recommendation, underscoring institutional hurdles with limited time remaining.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$53,809
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 86% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receiving a pardon by June 30, driven by strong judicial resistance to his unprecedented November 2025 pre-trial clemency request amid ongoing corruption trial testimony, including recent April court appearances. The Justice Ministry's Pardons Department opposes granting relief without an admission of guilt, citing equality-before-the-law concerns and lack of precedents, a stance reaffirmed in materials transferred April 1 following President Isaac Herzog's March 29 request for supplementary details on pre-conviction cases. While Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu backed the pardon on public-interest grounds and U.S. President Donald Trump has urged immediate action, Herzog awaits a formal recommendation, underscoring institutional hurdles with limited time remaining.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$53,809
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在6月30日之前得到赦免？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"内塔尼亚胡会在6月30日前被赦免吗？"，概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 14¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 14%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"内塔尼亚胡是否会在6月30日之前得到赦免？"已产生 $53.8K 的总交易量（自Mar 9, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"内塔尼亚胡是否会在6月30日之前得到赦免？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在6月30日之前得到赦免？"的当前领先者是"内塔尼亚胡会在6月30日前被赦免吗？"，概率为 14%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"内塔尼亚胡是否会在6月30日之前得到赦免？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。