Market icon
政治·特朗普

GA-14特别选举获胜者？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

GA-14特别选举获胜者？

克莱顿·富勒 96.8%

肖恩·哈里斯 3.6%

科尔顿·摩尔 <1%

查克·赫夫斯特特勒 <1%

Polymarket

$227,672 交易量

克莱顿·富勒 96.8%

肖恩·哈里斯 3.6%

科尔顿·摩尔 <1%

查克·赫夫斯特特勒 <1%

Polymarket

$227,672 交易量

克莱顿·富勒

$58,282 交易量

97%

肖恩·哈里斯

$100,891 交易量

4%

科尔顿·摩尔

$18,538 交易量

<1%

查克·赫夫斯特特勒

$3,071 交易量

<1%

凯蒂·丹普西

$6,226 交易量

<1%

贾森·阿纳维塔特

$0 交易量

<1%

杰夫·克里斯韦尔

$0 交易量

<1%

詹妮弗·斯特拉汉

$3,546 交易量

<1%

马库斯·弗劳尔斯

$0 交易量

<1%

泰勒·保罗·史密斯

$0 交易量

<1%

Trey Kelley

$3,428 交易量

<1%

鲁布·鲁斯科夫斯基

$6,808 交易量

<1%

霍莉·麦考马克

$0 交易量

<1%

布莱恩·斯托弗

$0 交易量

<1%

约翰·考恩

$4,217 交易量

<1%

凯西·卡彭特

$3,858 交易量

<1%

Star Black

$7,222 交易量

<1%

劳拉·卢默

$0 交易量

<1%

埃尔维斯·卡斯利

$4,549 交易量

<1%

马丁·蒙塔汉

$0 交易量

<1%

马特·巴顿

$3,273 交易量

<1%

乌洛玛·埃克佩特·卡马

$3,764 交易量

<1%

克拉伦斯·布拉洛克

$0 交易量

<1%

埃迪·兰姆斯登

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special election runoff set for April 7, trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 97% implied probability, reflecting the district's solid Republican ratings (Cook PVI R+19, the most GOP-leaning in Georgia) and historical dominance in low-turnout specials where the party base consolidates. Fuller, the Trump-endorsed district attorney who placed first in the March 10 nonpartisan primary with 35% amid a crowded field, benefits from unified GOP support following Democrat Shawn Harris's surprise 37% showing driven by heavy fundraising ($6.4 million raised). Early voting, underway since March 30, shows no signs of Democratic surge needed for an upset. Fuller's position could be challenged by a late scandal, unexpectedly high Harris turnout from metro Atlanta fringes, or national issues boosting Democrats, though structural barriers remain steep.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
交易量
$227,672
结束日期
2026-02-15
市场开放时间
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special election runoff set for April 7, trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Republican Clayton Fuller at 97% implied probability, reflecting the district's solid Republican ratings (Cook PVI R+19, the most GOP-leaning in Georgia) and historical dominance in low-turnout specials where the party base consolidates. Fuller, the Trump-endorsed district attorney who placed first in the March 10 nonpartisan primary with 35% amid a crowded field, benefits from unified GOP support following Democrat Shawn Harris's surprise 37% showing driven by heavy fundraising ($6.4 million raised). Early voting, underway since March 30, shows no signs of Democratic surge needed for an upset. Fuller's position could be challenged by a late scandal, unexpectedly high Harris turnout from metro Atlanta fringes, or national issues boosting Democrats, though structural barriers remain steep.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.
交易量
$227,672
结束日期
2026-02-15
市场开放时间
Nov 26, 2025, 1:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"GA-14特别选举获胜者？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 24 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"克莱顿·富勒"，概率为 97%，其次是"肖恩·哈里斯"，概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 97¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 97%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"GA-14特别选举获胜者？"已产生 $227.7K 的总交易量（自Nov 26, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"GA-14特别选举获胜者？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 24 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"GA-14特别选举获胜者？"的当前领先者是"克莱顿·富勒"，概率为 97%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 97%。紧随其后的结果是"肖恩·哈里斯"，概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"GA-14特别选举获胜者？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。