Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first direct missile strikes on Israeli targets, including sensitive military sites, in solidarity with Iran amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities like Fordow and Natanz. This follows U.S. Central Command's recent precision strikes on Houthi concentrations in western Yemen on March 26 and reported attacks in Sanaa, amid threats to Red Sea shipping and U.S.-linked vessels. Traders weigh the Trump administration's aggressive posture—evident in prior Operation Rough Rider campaigns—against de-escalation signals, with potential for further U.S. retaliatory airstrikes hinging on Houthi responses and diplomatic channels before any resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$365,923 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
18%
$365,923 交易量
3月31日
$266,128 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first direct missile strikes on Israeli targets, including sensitive military sites, in solidarity with Iran amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities like Fordow and Natanz. This follows U.S. Central Command's recent precision strikes on Houthi concentrations in western Yemen on March 26 and reported attacks in Sanaa, amid threats to Red Sea shipping and U.S.-linked vessels. Traders weigh the Trump administration's aggressive posture—evident in prior Operation Rough Rider campaigns—against de-escalation signals, with potential for further U.S. retaliatory airstrikes hinging on Houthi responses and diplomatic channels before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$365,923结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first direct missile strikes on Israeli targets, including sensitive military sites, in solidarity with Iran amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities like Fordow and Natanz. This follows U.S. Central Command's recent precision strikes on Houthi concentrations in western Yemen on March 26 and reported attacks in Sanaa, amid threats to Red Sea shipping and U.S.-linked vessels. Traders weigh the Trump administration's aggressive posture—evident in prior Operation Rough Rider campaigns—against de-escalation signals, with potential for further U.S. retaliatory airstrikes hinging on Houthi responses and diplomatic channels before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$365,923结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching their first direct missile strikes on Israeli targets, including sensitive military sites, in solidarity with Iran amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities like Fordow and Natanz. This follows U.S. Central Command's recent precision strikes on Houthi concentrations in western Yemen on March 26 and reported attacks in Sanaa, amid threats to Red Sea shipping and U.S.-linked vessels. Traders weigh the Trump administration's aggressive posture—evident in prior Operation Rough Rider campaigns—against de-escalation signals, with potential for further U.S. retaliatory airstrikes hinging on Houthi responses and diplomatic channels before any resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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