Market icon

Who will be the next Pope?

Market icon

Who will be the next Pope?

Robert Francis Prevost 100.0%

Other <1%

Luis Antonio Tagle <1%

Anders Arborelius <1%

Polymarket

$30,143,338 交易量

Robert Francis Prevost 100.0%

Other <1%

Luis Antonio Tagle <1%

Anders Arborelius <1%

Polymarket

$30,143,338 交易量

Market icon

Robert Francis Prevost

$1,415,174 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Other

$216,122 交易量

No

Market icon

Luis Antonio Tagle

$2,273,962 交易量

No

Market icon

Anders Arborelius

$677,017 交易量

No

Market icon

Jose Tolentino de Mendonca

$907,943 交易量

No

Market icon

Kurt Koch

$250,685 交易量

No

Market icon

Raymond Burke

$1,052,993 交易量

No

Market icon

Robert Sarah

$1,632,340 交易量

No

Market icon

Péter Erdő

$1,294,703 交易量

No

Market icon

Jean-Marc Aveline

$1,051,688 交易量

No

Market icon

Charles Maung Bo

$777,468 交易量

No

Market icon

Jean-Claude Hollerich

$341,609 交易量

No

Market icon

Peter Turkson

$1,838,083 交易量

No

Market icon

Pietro Parolin

$2,584,182 交易量

No

Market icon

Francis Arinze

$1,266,172 交易量

No

Market icon

Angelo Scola

$1,174,712 交易量

No

Market icon

Wim Eijk

$1,566,413 交易量

No

Market icon

Mario Grech

$923,836 交易量

No

Market icon

Fridolin Ambongo Besungu

$942,304 交易量

No

Market icon

Pierbattista Pizzaballa

$1,471,794 交易量

No

Market icon

Matteo Zuppi

$1,361,752 交易量

No

Market icon

No new Pope in 2025

$2,254,075 交易量

No

Market icon

Mark Ouellet

$794,266 交易量

No

Market icon

Baldassare Reina

$874,542 交易量

No

Market icon

Malcolm Ranjith

$799,298 交易量

No

Market icon

Fernando Filoni

$400,205 交易量

No

This market will resolve to the name of the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis.

If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$30,143,338
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2025, 1:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the name of the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will be the next Pope?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 26 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为" Robert Francis Prevost",概率为 100%,其次是"Other",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Who will be the next Pope?"已产生 $30.1 million 的总交易量(自Feb 24, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will be the next Pope?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 26 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will be the next Pope?"的当前领先者是" Robert Francis Prevost",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Other",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will be the next Pope?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。