Trader consensus in the MN-02 Democratic primary favors Matt Little at 57% implied probability ahead of the August 13 vote, propelled by his leads in recent polls and endorsements from EMILY's List, Planned Parenthood, and major labor unions like SEIU and AFSCME. A mid-July Star Tribune/MPR News poll showed Little at 32%, Matt Klein at 25%, and Kaela Berg at 5%, with Little gaining from stronger name recognition as a former state senator and party infrastructure support. Klein, a Navy veteran and prosecutor, holds 36.5% via superior fundraising but trails in key voting blocs. Berg remains marginal at 4.2%. No major shifts in the past week; undecideds and turnout in this open-seat race could sway results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于马特·利特尔 54%
马特·克莱因 27%
凯拉·伯格 4.1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
马特·利特尔
57%
马特·克莱因
37%
凯拉·伯格
4%
马特·利特尔 54%
马特·克莱因 27%
凯拉·伯格 4.1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
马特·利特尔
$0 交易量
57%
马特·克莱因
$0 交易量
37%
凯拉·伯格
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the MN-02 Democratic primary favors Matt Little at 57% implied probability ahead of the August 13 vote, propelled by his leads in recent polls and endorsements from EMILY's List, Planned Parenthood, and major labor unions like SEIU and AFSCME. A mid-July Star Tribune/MPR News poll showed Little at 32%, Matt Klein at 25%, and Kaela Berg at 5%, with Little gaining from stronger name recognition as a former state senator and party infrastructure support. Klein, a Navy veteran and prosecutor, holds 36.5% via superior fundraising but trails in key voting blocs. Berg remains marginal at 4.2%. No major shifts in the past week; undecideds and turnout in this open-seat race could sway results.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Aug 11, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the MN-02 Democratic primary favors Matt Little at 57% implied probability ahead of the August 13 vote, propelled by his leads in recent polls and endorsements from EMILY's List, Planned Parenthood, and major labor unions like SEIU and AFSCME. A mid-July Star Tribune/MPR News poll showed Little at 32%, Matt Klein at 25%, and Kaela Berg at 5%, with Little gaining from stronger name recognition as a former state senator and party infrastructure support. Klein, a Navy veteran and prosecutor, holds 36.5% via superior fundraising but trails in key voting blocs. Berg remains marginal at 4.2%. No major shifts in the past week; undecideds and turnout in this open-seat race could sway results.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$0结束日期
Aug 11, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the MN-02 Democratic primary favors Matt Little at 57% implied probability ahead of the August 13 vote, propelled by his leads in recent polls and endorsements from EMILY's List, Planned Parenthood, and major labor unions like SEIU and AFSCME. A mid-July Star Tribune/MPR News poll showed Little at 32%, Matt Klein at 25%, and Kaela Berg at 5%, with Little gaining from stronger name recognition as a former state senator and party infrastructure support. Klein, a Navy veteran and prosecutor, holds 36.5% via superior fundraising but trails in key voting blocs. Berg remains marginal at 4.2%. No major shifts in the past week; undecideds and turnout in this open-seat race could sway results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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