Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, reflecting entrenched diplomatic stalemate amid unresolved disputes over occupied territories like Donbas and Zaporizhzhia, coupled with Russia's military escalation following Ukraine's recent truce offers, including strikes reported April 1. Zelenskyy's meeting with Erdogan on April 4 signaled readiness for direct talks "in any format," boosting Turkey's odds to 2.6% as Ankara pushes its Istanbul venue for the tenth time, yet Putin has rejected personal engagement since 2019 and demands Ukrainian concessions like troop withdrawals. US-brokered indirect negotiations in Geneva (February) and Abu Dhabi stalled without leader summits, while upcoming US envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim potential for de-escalation amid active frontline fighting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2027年前不会会面 81%
土耳其 2.6%
美国 2.2%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 1.8%
$1,893,353 交易量
$1,893,353 交易量

2027年前不会会面
81%

土耳其
3%

美国
2%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

匈牙利
2%

Russia
1%

瑞士
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

中国
1%

印度
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

乌克兰
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%
2027年前不会会面 81%
土耳其 2.6%
美国 2.2%
卡塔尔 / 阿联酋 1.8%
$1,893,353 交易量
$1,893,353 交易量

2027年前不会会面
81%

土耳其
3%

美国
2%

卡塔尔 / 阿联酋
2%

沙特阿拉伯
2%

匈牙利
2%

Russia
1%

瑞士
1%

白俄罗斯
1%

中国
1%

印度
1%

分组项标题:意大利 / 梵蒂冈
1%

乌克兰
1%

哈萨克斯坦
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, reflecting entrenched diplomatic stalemate amid unresolved disputes over occupied territories like Donbas and Zaporizhzhia, coupled with Russia's military escalation following Ukraine's recent truce offers, including strikes reported April 1. Zelenskyy's meeting with Erdogan on April 4 signaled readiness for direct talks "in any format," boosting Turkey's odds to 2.6% as Ankara pushes its Istanbul venue for the tenth time, yet Putin has rejected personal engagement since 2019 and demands Ukrainian concessions like troop withdrawals. US-brokered indirect negotiations in Geneva (February) and Abu Dhabi stalled without leader summits, while upcoming US envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim potential for de-escalation amid active frontline fighting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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