President Trump's recent Truth Social posts warning Iran against disrupting oil flows in the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with his March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative touting U.S.-Israeli military actions as reshaping the Middle East, have driven trader consensus toward Iran-focused phrases like "paid a big price," "finish the job," "Khamenei," and "embargo" leading at 11-18% implied probabilities. A pause in planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6, announced after productive talks, underscores ongoing diplomatic-military tensions dominating his rhetoric. With no confirmed public events from March 29 to April 5 but likely press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago travel and executive time, traders anticipate unscheduled statements or posts resolving the market via official transcripts and social media.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$462,919 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
18%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
10%
Embargo
16%
Finish the Job
17%
Khamenei
17%
Chuck Norris
6%
$462,919 交易量
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,822 交易量
18%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,922 交易量
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,189 交易量
7%
Ethanol
$9,914 交易量
10%
Embargo
$8,343 交易量
16%
Finish the Job
$3,242 交易量
17%
Khamenei
$50,830 交易量
17%
Chuck Norris
$4,113 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts warning Iran against disrupting oil flows in the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with his March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative touting U.S.-Israeli military actions as reshaping the Middle East, have driven trader consensus toward Iran-focused phrases like "paid a big price," "finish the job," "Khamenei," and "embargo" leading at 11-18% implied probabilities. A pause in planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6, announced after productive talks, underscores ongoing diplomatic-military tensions dominating his rhetoric. With no confirmed public events from March 29 to April 5 but likely press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago travel and executive time, traders anticipate unscheduled statements or posts resolving the market via official transcripts and social media.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$462,919结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts warning Iran against disrupting oil flows in the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with his March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative touting U.S.-Israeli military actions as reshaping the Middle East, have driven trader consensus toward Iran-focused phrases like "paid a big price," "finish the job," "Khamenei," and "embargo" leading at 11-18% implied probabilities. A pause in planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6, announced after productive talks, underscores ongoing diplomatic-military tensions dominating his rhetoric. With no confirmed public events from March 29 to April 5 but likely press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago travel and executive time, traders anticipate unscheduled statements or posts resolving the market via official transcripts and social media.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$462,919结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
President Trump's recent Truth Social posts warning Iran against disrupting oil flows in the Strait of Hormuz, coupled with his March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative touting U.S.-Israeli military actions as reshaping the Middle East, have driven trader consensus toward Iran-focused phrases like "paid a big price," "finish the job," "Khamenei," and "embargo" leading at 11-18% implied probabilities. A pause in planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6, announced after productive talks, underscores ongoing diplomatic-military tensions dominating his rhetoric. With no confirmed public events from March 29 to April 5 but likely press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago travel and executive time, traders anticipate unscheduled statements or posts resolving the market via official transcripts and social media.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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