Iran's retaliatory missile and drone strikes on US military assets in Gulf states have defined the escalation in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war since late February 2026, with the most recent verified action on March 28 targeting Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base, injuring at least 12 US soldiers, damaging refueling aircraft, and claiming a hit on a US reinforcement ship near Oman's Salalah port. Iran-backed Houthis simultaneously launched their first missile at Israel since the war began, amid prior attacks on Bahrain's US Fifth Fleet headquarters, Kuwaiti ports, and UAE infrastructure. Traders monitor for further strikes by March 31 amid US threats of power grid assaults, rejected diplomatic pauses, and no active ceasefire negotiations, heightening risks of broader regional escalation or de-escalation signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$451,274 交易量
迪莫纳（希蒙·佩雷斯内盖夫核研究中心）
2%
哈利法塔
4%
盖瓦尔油田
9%
萨法尼亚油田
9%
阿布盖格油气处理设施
11%
祖尔炼油厂
12%
Leviathan Field
7%
Khurais Field
12%
拉斯塔努拉
10%
East–West Pipeline
8%
哈布尚油田/加工综合体
13%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
27%
$451,274 交易量
迪莫纳（希蒙·佩雷斯内盖夫核研究中心）
$251,504 交易量
2%
哈利法塔
$1,339 交易量
4%
盖瓦尔油田
$30,358 交易量
9%
萨法尼亚油田
$39,832 交易量
9%
阿布盖格油气处理设施
$38,986 交易量
11%
祖尔炼油厂
$74,086 交易量
12%
Leviathan Field
$1,106 交易量
7%
Khurais Field
$4,598 交易量
12%
拉斯塔努拉
$4,290 交易量
10%
East–West Pipeline
$1,306 交易量
8%
哈布尚油田/加工综合体
$0 交易量
13%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
$3,869 交易量
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Iran's retaliatory missile and drone strikes on US military assets in Gulf states have defined the escalation in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war since late February 2026, with the most recent verified action on March 28 targeting Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base, injuring at least 12 US soldiers, damaging refueling aircraft, and claiming a hit on a US reinforcement ship near Oman's Salalah port. Iran-backed Houthis simultaneously launched their first missile at Israel since the war began, amid prior attacks on Bahrain's US Fifth Fleet headquarters, Kuwaiti ports, and UAE infrastructure. Traders monitor for further strikes by March 31 amid US threats of power grid assaults, rejected diplomatic pauses, and no active ceasefire negotiations, heightening risks of broader regional escalation or de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$451,274市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Iran's retaliatory missile and drone strikes on US military assets in Gulf states have defined the escalation in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war since late February 2026, with the most recent verified action on March 28 targeting Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base, injuring at least 12 US soldiers, damaging refueling aircraft, and claiming a hit on a US reinforcement ship near Oman's Salalah port. Iran-backed Houthis simultaneously launched their first missile at Israel since the war began, amid prior attacks on Bahrain's US Fifth Fleet headquarters, Kuwaiti ports, and UAE infrastructure. Traders monitor for further strikes by March 31 amid US threats of power grid assaults, rejected diplomatic pauses, and no active ceasefire negotiations, heightening risks of broader regional escalation or de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
交易量
$451,274市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's retaliatory missile and drone strikes on US military assets in Gulf states have defined the escalation in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war since late February 2026, with the most recent verified action on March 28 targeting Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base, injuring at least 12 US soldiers, damaging refueling aircraft, and claiming a hit on a US reinforcement ship near Oman's Salalah port. Iran-backed Houthis simultaneously launched their first missile at Israel since the war began, amid prior attacks on Bahrain's US Fifth Fleet headquarters, Kuwaiti ports, and UAE infrastructure. Traders monitor for further strikes by March 31 amid US threats of power grid assaults, rejected diplomatic pauses, and no active ceasefire negotiations, heightening risks of broader regional escalation or de-escalation signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题