Trader consensus favors Vermont Attorney General Charity Clark at 32.5% implied probability to win the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 13, driven by her narrow lead in the latest VTDigger poll (28% vs. Treasurer Mike Pieciak's 22%), bolstered by higher name recognition from high-profile legal cases and superior fundraising. The race remains tight with over 30% undecided voters, reflecting both candidates' strengths as experienced state officials—Clark on justice issues, Pieciak on fiscal management—splitting progressive and moderate support. Separation could emerge from upcoming debates, late endorsements from figures like Sen. Bernie Sanders, or shifts in final polls amid low turnout expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于慈善·克拉克 35%
迈克·皮茨亚克 34%
埃丝特·查尔莱斯坦 3.0%
慈善·克拉克
35%
迈克·皮茨亚克
32%
埃丝特·查尔莱斯坦
3%
慈善·克拉克 35%
迈克·皮茨亚克 34%
埃丝特·查尔莱斯坦 3.0%
慈善·克拉克
35%
迈克·皮茨亚克
32%
埃丝特·查尔莱斯坦
3%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Vermont Attorney General Charity Clark at 32.5% implied probability to win the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 13, driven by her narrow lead in the latest VTDigger poll (28% vs. Treasurer Mike Pieciak's 22%), bolstered by higher name recognition from high-profile legal cases and superior fundraising. The race remains tight with over 30% undecided voters, reflecting both candidates' strengths as experienced state officials—Clark on justice issues, Pieciak on fiscal management—splitting progressive and moderate support. Separation could emerge from upcoming debates, late endorsements from figures like Sen. Bernie Sanders, or shifts in final polls amid low turnout expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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