Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated the US-Israeli conflict with Iran on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first such attacks in the month-old war—prompting US Central Command to intensify targeted strikes on Houthi drone sites and radar in Yemen, including recent Tomahawk launches from USS Carney to protect Red Sea shipping lanes vital for global trade. Thousands of US Marines have arrived in the region amid fears of renewed Houthi assaults on commercial vessels, echoing 2023-2024 disruptions that previously triggered US airstrikes halted by Trump in May 2025. Traders weigh diplomatic efforts like Pakistan-hosted peace talks against retaliation risks, with no confirmed ground operations yet but ongoing military posturing signaling high escalation potential before any resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$367,558 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
7%
$367,558 交易量
3月31日
$267,764 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated the US-Israeli conflict with Iran on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first such attacks in the month-old war—prompting US Central Command to intensify targeted strikes on Houthi drone sites and radar in Yemen, including recent Tomahawk launches from USS Carney to protect Red Sea shipping lanes vital for global trade. Thousands of US Marines have arrived in the region amid fears of renewed Houthi assaults on commercial vessels, echoing 2023-2024 disruptions that previously triggered US airstrikes halted by Trump in May 2025. Traders weigh diplomatic efforts like Pakistan-hosted peace talks against retaliation risks, with no confirmed ground operations yet but ongoing military posturing signaling high escalation potential before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$367,558结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated the US-Israeli conflict with Iran on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first such attacks in the month-old war—prompting US Central Command to intensify targeted strikes on Houthi drone sites and radar in Yemen, including recent Tomahawk launches from USS Carney to protect Red Sea shipping lanes vital for global trade. Thousands of US Marines have arrived in the region amid fears of renewed Houthi assaults on commercial vessels, echoing 2023-2024 disruptions that previously triggered US airstrikes halted by Trump in May 2025. Traders weigh diplomatic efforts like Pakistan-hosted peace talks against retaliation risks, with no confirmed ground operations yet but ongoing military posturing signaling high escalation potential before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$367,558结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated the US-Israeli conflict with Iran on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first such attacks in the month-old war—prompting US Central Command to intensify targeted strikes on Houthi drone sites and radar in Yemen, including recent Tomahawk launches from USS Carney to protect Red Sea shipping lanes vital for global trade. Thousands of US Marines have arrived in the region amid fears of renewed Houthi assaults on commercial vessels, echoing 2023-2024 disruptions that previously triggered US airstrikes halted by Trump in May 2025. Traders weigh diplomatic efforts like Pakistan-hosted peace talks against retaliation risks, with no confirmed ground operations yet but ongoing military posturing signaling high escalation potential before any resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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