Market icon

美国袭击伊朗的方式是…… ?

$135,561,527 交易量

Jan 31, 2026

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$135,561,527
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
创建于
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

注意外部链接。

Market icon

美国袭击伊朗的方式是…… ?

$135,561,527 交易量

1月31日

$36,468,700 交易量

6%

2月1日

$1,120,447 交易量

11%

2月2日

$329,184 交易量

14%

2月3日

$81,524 交易量

17%

2月4日

$79,647 交易量

19%

2月5日

$115,401 交易量

21%

2月6日

$1,666,382 交易量

25%

2月13日

$1,170,506 交易量

46%

2月28日

$4,507,229 交易量

60%

3月31日

$4,347,394 交易量

67%

6月30日

$2,345,942 交易量

71%

关于

交易量
$135,561,527
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
创建于
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

注意外部链接。