The heavily Republican character of Texas's 8th congressional district, where Donald Trump carried 63 percent in the last presidential election, continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Morgan Luttrell's retirement created an open seat, yet the March 2026 Republican primary delivered a clear nominee in Jessica Steinmann, who captured nearly 69 percent of the vote and enters the general as the consensus choice in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts. The Democratic nominee, Laura Jones, emerged from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has consistently favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. With no major campaign developments or external shocks reported in the past month, the current pricing reflects the district's established partisan baseline and the absence of competitive factors that could shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$0 交易量
90%
民主党
$2,291 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Republican character of Texas's 8th congressional district, where Donald Trump carried 63 percent in the last presidential election, continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Morgan Luttrell's retirement created an open seat, yet the March 2026 Republican primary delivered a clear nominee in Jessica Steinmann, who captured nearly 69 percent of the vote and enters the general as the consensus choice in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts. The Democratic nominee, Laura Jones, emerged from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has consistently favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. With no major campaign developments or external shocks reported in the past month, the current pricing reflects the district's established partisan baseline and the absence of competitive factors that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$2,291结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Republican character of Texas's 8th congressional district, where Donald Trump carried 63 percent in the last presidential election, continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Morgan Luttrell's retirement created an open seat, yet the March 2026 Republican primary delivered a clear nominee in Jessica Steinmann, who captured nearly 69 percent of the vote and enters the general as the consensus choice in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts. The Democratic nominee, Laura Jones, emerged from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has consistently favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. With no major campaign developments or external shocks reported in the past month, the current pricing reflects the district's established partisan baseline and the absence of competitive factors that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,291结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Republican character of Texas's 8th congressional district, where Donald Trump carried 63 percent in the last presidential election, continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Morgan Luttrell's retirement created an open seat, yet the March 2026 Republican primary delivered a clear nominee in Jessica Steinmann, who captured nearly 69 percent of the vote and enters the general as the consensus choice in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts. The Democratic nominee, Laura Jones, emerged from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat that has consistently favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. With no major campaign developments or external shocks reported in the past month, the current pricing reflects the district's established partisan baseline and the absence of competitive factors that could shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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