Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于59-60% 53.9%
低于56% 15.0%
58-59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.8%
$33,699 交易量
$33,699 交易量
低于56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58-59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
59-60% 53.9%
低于56% 15.0%
58-59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.8%
$33,699 交易量
$33,699 交易量
低于56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58-59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
市场开放时间: Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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