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2025年洪都拉斯大选投票率(较小括号)

Market icon

2025年洪都拉斯大选投票率(较小括号)

59-60% 53.9%

低于56% 15.0%

58-59% 12.4%

60-61% 4.8%

Polymarket

$33,699 交易量

59-60% 53.9%

低于56% 15.0%

58-59% 12.4%

60-61% 4.8%

Polymarket

$33,699 交易量

低于56%

$11,034 交易量

14%

56-57%

$0 交易量

3%

57-58%

$13,311 交易量

3%

58-59%

$0 交易量

12%

59-60%

$0 交易量

54%

60-61%

$0 交易量

5%

61-62%

$9,355 交易量

4%

>62%

$0 交易量

3%

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.

Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.

Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"2025年洪都拉斯大选投票率(较小括号)"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"59-60%",概率为 54%,其次是"低于56%",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 54¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2025年洪都拉斯大选投票率(较小括号)"已产生 $33.7K 的总交易量(自Dec 11, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2025年洪都拉斯大选投票率(较小括号)"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2025年洪都拉斯大选投票率(较小括号)"的当前领先者是"59-60%",概率为 54%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 54%。紧随其后的结果是"低于56%",概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2025年洪都拉斯大选投票率(较小括号)"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。