Recent polls from aggregators like RealClearPolitics place President Trump's approval rating near 40%, driving the tight split in trader sentiment with 52% odds on below 40% and 43% on the 40.0–40.4% range for March 27. Divergent results across pollsters—Rasmussen trending higher in the mid-40s, Gallup and others lower amid inflation worries—underscore the razor-thin consensus reflecting real-money bets on volatile public views. Recent catalysts include tariff announcements sparking market jitters and immigration policy pushes eliciting partisan divides, while steady jobs growth bolsters upside potential. Upcoming nonfarm payrolls data on April 4 could catalyze separation if it deviates from expectations, altering economic approval perceptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于<40.0 52%
40.0–40.4 43%
40.5–40.9 6%
41.0–41.4 <1%
$22,477 交易量
$22,477 交易量
<40.0
52%
40.0–40.4
43%
40.5–40.9
6%
41.0–41.4
1%
41.5–41.9
1%
42.0+
1%
<40.0 52%
40.0–40.4 43%
40.5–40.9 6%
41.0–41.4 <1%
$22,477 交易量
$22,477 交易量
<40.0
52%
40.0–40.4
43%
40.5–40.9
6%
41.0–41.4
1%
41.5–41.9
1%
42.0+
1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from aggregators like RealClearPolitics place President Trump's approval rating near 40%, driving the tight split in trader sentiment with 52% odds on below 40% and 43% on the 40.0–40.4% range for March 27. Divergent results across pollsters—Rasmussen trending higher in the mid-40s, Gallup and others lower amid inflation worries—underscore the razor-thin consensus reflecting real-money bets on volatile public views. Recent catalysts include tariff announcements sparking market jitters and immigration policy pushes eliciting partisan divides, while steady jobs growth bolsters upside potential. Upcoming nonfarm payrolls data on April 4 could catalyze separation if it deviates from expectations, altering economic approval perceptions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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