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Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?

Market icon

Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$107,792 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$107,792 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify. Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented. Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify). The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify.

Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented.

Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify).

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.
交易量
$107,792
结束日期
Jun 30, 2025
市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2025, 6:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify. Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented. Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify). The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify. Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented. Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify). The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify.

Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented.

Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify).

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.
交易量
$107,792
结束日期
Jun 30, 2025
市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2025, 6:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify. Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented. Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify). The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?"已产生 $107.8K 的总交易量(自Feb 20, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?"的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。