Trader consensus prices "No" at a dominant 98% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, reflecting ironclad confidence driven by the absence of any official nomination, leaks, or credible reports despite her March 6 White House visit and public praise for Trump's Operation Epic Fury against Iran. Over three weeks later, no momentum has built, with Rice entrenched in her Stanford and Hoover Institution roles, key cabinet spots filled 15 months into the term, and her prior endorsement of Nikki Haley signaling philosophical mismatches with Trump's America First lineup. A sudden vacancy creating upset potential remains the sole realistic Hail Mary, but traders see it as a negligible longshot in the fourth quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-04-30
最新
最新
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at a dominant 98% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, reflecting ironclad confidence driven by the absence of any official nomination, leaks, or credible reports despite her March 6 White House visit and public praise for Trump's Operation Epic Fury against Iran. Over three weeks later, no momentum has built, with Rice entrenched in her Stanford and Hoover Institution roles, key cabinet spots filled 15 months into the term, and her prior endorsement of Nikki Haley signaling philosophical mismatches with Trump's America First lineup. A sudden vacancy creating upset potential remains the sole realistic Hail Mary, but traders see it as a negligible longshot in the fourth quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,636结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at a dominant 98% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, reflecting ironclad confidence driven by the absence of any official nomination, leaks, or credible reports despite her March 6 White House visit and public praise for Trump's Operation Epic Fury against Iran. Over three weeks later, no momentum has built, with Rice entrenched in her Stanford and Hoover Institution roles, key cabinet spots filled 15 months into the term, and her prior endorsement of Nikki Haley signaling philosophical mismatches with Trump's America First lineup. A sudden vacancy creating upset potential remains the sole realistic Hail Mary, but traders see it as a negligible longshot in the fourth quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,636结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at a dominant 98% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, reflecting ironclad confidence driven by the absence of any official nomination, leaks, or credible reports despite her March 6 White House visit and public praise for Trump's Operation Epic Fury against Iran. Over three weeks later, no momentum has built, with Rice entrenched in her Stanford and Hoover Institution roles, key cabinet spots filled 15 months into the term, and her prior endorsement of Nikki Haley signaling philosophical mismatches with Trump's America First lineup. A sudden vacancy creating upset potential remains the sole realistic Hail Mary, but traders see it as a negligible longshot in the fourth quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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