Market icon
政治·明尼苏达州骚乱

Tim Walz入狱的时候... ？

Market icon
政治·明尼苏达州骚乱

Tim Walz入狱的时候... ？

$26,806 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$26,806 交易量

Polymarket

2026年3月31日

$26,806 交易量

<1%

2026年12月31日

$0 交易量

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,806
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Absence of formal criminal charges or indictments against Minnesota Governor Tim Walz anchors trader consensus at low implied probabilities under 5% for incarceration by year-end on Polymarket. Partisan allegations, including Republican claims of 1990s campaign finance discrepancies flagged in a state audit and recent accusations of diverting school meal funds to undocumented children, remain unprosecuted despite scrutiny from Minnesota authorities. No developments have emerged from federal probes or state attorneys general post-VP selection. Campaign rhetoric from Donald Trump has fueled online speculation but lacks evidentiary momentum. Traders monitor potential post-election investigations, though base rates for convicting sitting governors without indictments are minimal; election outcome on November 5 holds indirect influence via political leverage.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Tim Walz入狱的时候... ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日"，概率为 6%，其次是"2026年3月31日"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 6¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 6%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Tim Walz入狱的时候... ？"已产生 $26.8K 的总交易量（自Jan 2, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Tim Walz入狱的时候... ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Tim Walz入狱的时候... ？"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日"，仅有 6%，"2026年3月31日"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"Tim Walz入狱的时候... ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。