Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary win with 82% of the vote solidified his path to a fourth term, bolstering trader consensus at 79% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls, including University of Texas-Tyler (Abbott 49%-41%) and University of Houston (Abbott +7), show consistent double-digit leads amid Texas's longstanding GOP dominance—no Democrat has won statewide since 1994. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting Abbott's fundraising edge, border security focus, and historical incumbency advantages in battleground states, though early voting begins October 19 and national trends could influence turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
22%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,673 交易量
79%
民主党
$3,392 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary win with 82% of the vote solidified his path to a fourth term, bolstering trader consensus at 79% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls, including University of Texas-Tyler (Abbott 49%-41%) and University of Houston (Abbott +7), show consistent double-digit leads amid Texas's longstanding GOP dominance—no Democrat has won statewide since 1994. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting Abbott's fundraising edge, border security focus, and historical incumbency advantages in battleground states, though early voting begins October 19 and national trends could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$6,065结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary win with 82% of the vote solidified his path to a fourth term, bolstering trader consensus at 79% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls, including University of Texas-Tyler (Abbott 49%-41%) and University of Houston (Abbott +7), show consistent double-digit leads amid Texas's longstanding GOP dominance—no Democrat has won statewide since 1994. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting Abbott's fundraising edge, border security focus, and historical incumbency advantages in battleground states, though early voting begins October 19 and national trends could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$6,065结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary win with 82% of the vote solidified his path to a fourth term, bolstering trader consensus at 79% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls, including University of Texas-Tyler (Abbott 49%-41%) and University of Houston (Abbott +7), show consistent double-digit leads amid Texas's longstanding GOP dominance—no Democrat has won statewide since 1994. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting Abbott's fundraising edge, border security focus, and historical incumbency advantages in battleground states, though early voting begins October 19 and national trends could influence turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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