Recent polling reinforces Republican dominance in Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial race, with House Majority Leader Lee Buchanan leading Democrat Jason Martin 46%-23% in a mid-September survey and topping GOP primary matchups at 42%, fueling trader consensus pricing Republicans at 92% implied probability. The state, which last elected a Democratic governor in 2010, favors GOP candidates structurally despite term limits preventing incumbent Bill Lee's re-election, leaving an open seat with limited Democratic firepower. No major challengers have disrupted Buchanan's early frontrunner status. Upsets could stem from intense Republican primary infighting, a high-profile Democratic recruit, scandals, or a national midterm wave before the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
92%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling reinforces Republican dominance in Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial race, with House Majority Leader Lee Buchanan leading Democrat Jason Martin 46%-23% in a mid-September survey and topping GOP primary matchups at 42%, fueling trader consensus pricing Republicans at 92% implied probability. The state, which last elected a Democratic governor in 2010, favors GOP candidates structurally despite term limits preventing incumbent Bill Lee's re-election, leaving an open seat with limited Democratic firepower. No major challengers have disrupted Buchanan's early frontrunner status. Upsets could stem from intense Republican primary infighting, a high-profile Democratic recruit, scandals, or a national midterm wave before the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling reinforces Republican dominance in Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial race, with House Majority Leader Lee Buchanan leading Democrat Jason Martin 46%-23% in a mid-September survey and topping GOP primary matchups at 42%, fueling trader consensus pricing Republicans at 92% implied probability. The state, which last elected a Democratic governor in 2010, favors GOP candidates structurally despite term limits preventing incumbent Bill Lee's re-election, leaving an open seat with limited Democratic firepower. No major challengers have disrupted Buchanan's early frontrunner status. Upsets could stem from intense Republican primary infighting, a high-profile Democratic recruit, scandals, or a national midterm wave before the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling reinforces Republican dominance in Tennessee's 2026 gubernatorial race, with House Majority Leader Lee Buchanan leading Democrat Jason Martin 46%-23% in a mid-September survey and topping GOP primary matchups at 42%, fueling trader consensus pricing Republicans at 92% implied probability. The state, which last elected a Democratic governor in 2010, favors GOP candidates structurally despite term limits preventing incumbent Bill Lee's re-election, leaving an open seat with limited Democratic firepower. No major challengers have disrupted Buchanan's early frontrunner status. Upsets could stem from intense Republican primary infighting, a high-profile Democratic recruit, scandals, or a national midterm wave before the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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