Trader consensus favors Catherine Trautmann at 48.5% implied probability to win Strasbourg's 2026 mayoral election, propelled by her strong performance in recent polls and name recognition from prior terms as mayor (1997-2008), appealing to Socialist-leaning voters in a left-dominated city. Incumbent Jeanne Barseghian trails at 38%, pressured by coalition strains within the green-left alliance and modest approval ratings after navigating post-2020 urban challenges like housing and transport. Jean-Philippe Vetter's 11% captures center-right support amid Les Républicains consolidation, though broader appeal remains limited. Key recent drivers include Trautmann's late-2024 candidacy launch, Ifop polling leads for her (35-40% first-round intent), and Barseghian's endorsement push, with national left fragmentation yet to fully impact local odds ahead of primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于卡特琳娜·特劳特曼 51%
让娜·巴塞吉安 38%
让-菲利普·韦特 11%
$8,339 交易量
$8,339 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼
51%
让娜·巴塞吉安
38%
让-菲利普·韦特
11%
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼 51%
让娜·巴塞吉安 38%
让-菲利普·韦特 11%
$8,339 交易量
$8,339 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼
$2,290 交易量
51%
让娜·巴塞吉安
$4,173 交易量
38%
让-菲利普·韦特
$1,876 交易量
11%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
交易量
$8,339结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$8,339结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Catherine Trautmann at 48.5% implied probability to win Strasbourg's 2026 mayoral election, propelled by her strong performance in recent polls and name recognition from prior terms as mayor (1997-2008), appealing to Socialist-leaning voters in a left-dominated city. Incumbent Jeanne Barseghian trails at 38%, pressured by coalition strains within the green-left alliance and modest approval ratings after navigating post-2020 urban challenges like housing and transport. Jean-Philippe Vetter's 11% captures center-right support amid Les Républicains consolidation, though broader appeal remains limited. Key recent drivers include Trautmann's late-2024 candidacy launch, Ifop polling leads for her (35-40% first-round intent), and Barseghian's endorsement push, with national left fragmentation yet to fully impact local odds ahead of primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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