Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the Republican presidential nominee in 2028 at 49%, driven by his high-profile role as HHS secretary and enthusiastic reception from the MAGA base at CPAC on March 28, where crowds chanted support amid his Make America Healthy Again agenda, despite some Senate Republican pushback on policy implementation. Vice President J.D. Vance holds steady at 36.5% as the heir apparent with incumbency advantage, though criticism over federal responses to domestic challenges and the Iran conflict has tempered gains. Marco Rubio's 22.1% reflects surging donor momentum after reports of President Trump's private polling favoring him over Vance among major contributors, highlighting early primary positioning ahead of 2026 midterms. Constitutional term limits bar Trump's reelection, opening the field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于J.D. Vance 36.5%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥 22.1%
塔克·卡尔森 4.8%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.7%
$501,048,198 交易量
$501,048,198 交易量
J.D. Vance
37%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥
22%
塔克·卡尔森
5%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%
格伦·扬金
2%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
托马斯·马西
2%
唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
2%
Rand Paul
1%
伊万卡·特朗普
1%
塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
泰德·克鲁茨
1%
格雷格·艾博特
1%
分组项标题：埃隆·马斯克
1%
玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%
分组项标题：妮基·黑利
1%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%
分组项标题：马特·盖茨
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%
布赖恩·肯普
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·布雷迪
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
1%
分组项标题：Elise Stefanik
1%
乔什·霍利
1%
凯蒂·布里特
1%
约翰·桑恩
1%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%
乔·肯特
1%
斯蒂夫·班农
1%
拜伦·唐纳斯
1%
埃里卡·柯克
1%
迈克·彭斯
1%
J.D. Vance 36.5%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥 22.1%
塔克·卡尔森 4.8%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.7%
$501,048,198 交易量
$501,048,198 交易量
J.D. Vance
37%
分组项标题：马科·鲁比奥
22%
塔克·卡尔森
5%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
3%
格伦·扬金
2%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
托马斯·马西
2%
唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.
2%
Rand Paul
1%
伊万卡·特朗普
1%
塔尔西·加巴德尔
1%
维克·拉马斯瓦米
1%
泰德·克鲁茨
1%
格雷格·艾博特
1%
分组项标题：埃隆·马斯克
1%
玛乔里·泰勒·格林
1%
分组项标题：妮基·黑利
1%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
1%
分组项标题：马特·盖茨
1%
埃里克·特朗普
1%
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
1%
布赖恩·肯普
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·布雷迪
1%
金·卡戴珊
1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
1%
分组项标题：Elise Stefanik
1%
乔什·霍利
1%
凯蒂·布里特
1%
约翰·桑恩
1%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
1%
乔·肯特
1%
斯蒂夫·班农
1%
拜伦·唐纳斯
1%
埃里卡·柯克
1%
迈克·彭斯
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the Republican presidential nominee in 2028 at 49%, driven by his high-profile role as HHS secretary and enthusiastic reception from the MAGA base at CPAC on March 28, where crowds chanted support amid his Make America Healthy Again agenda, despite some Senate Republican pushback on policy implementation. Vice President J.D. Vance holds steady at 36.5% as the heir apparent with incumbency advantage, though criticism over federal responses to domestic challenges and the Iran conflict has tempered gains. Marco Rubio's 22.1% reflects surging donor momentum after reports of President Trump's private polling favoring him over Vance among major contributors, highlighting early primary positioning ahead of 2026 midterms. Constitutional term limits bar Trump's reelection, opening the field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题